PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xb50f7992f3afcb66ca01b526a9537d6020ea7aee

0xb50f7992f3afcb66ca01b526a9537d6020ea7aee

Realised P&L
$-10.82
Volume
$128.51
Markets traded
41
Open portfolio
$4.99

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-8.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded41
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample36 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,020 Week of October 12 2026? · No0.5200.968$1.86+$0.86
Will Meta (META) close at $730-$740 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16? · Yes0.2300.245$1.07+$0.07
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 16? · Up0.6000.610$1.02+$0.02
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 21? · Yes0.5900.575$0.97−$0.03
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 16, 2026? · Yes0.4700.032$0.07−$0.93

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-16 03:49S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 16?BUY0.59999988$1.00
10-15 19:10Will Meta (META) close at $730-$740 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16?BUY0.2299999517$1.00
10-15 18:23Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 21?BUY0.5899998466$1.00
10-15 09:47Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?BUY0.5899998466$1.00
10-15 01:35SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 15?BUY0.6199998512$1.00
10-14 17:34Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 16, 2026?BUY0.469999906$1.00
10-12 21:22Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,020 Week of October 12 2026?BUY0.5199999792$1.00
10-12 13:22Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 14, 2026?BUY0.4499998425$1.00
10-09 03:45Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?BUY0.7299998102$1.00
10-08 19:44Will Google have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?BUY0.3469999254$1.00
10-08 11:25Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September?BUY0.3299998944$1.00
10-07 02:41WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 7?BUY0.4499998425$1.00
10-06 18:41Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?BUY0.7899998657$1.00
09-24 12:09Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?BUY0.74$1.00
09-23 04:06Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.1M and 7.2M in August?BUY0.3099999954$2.00