0xB5078E31908894A953697aA7e5ca75423FF91677-1769504654373
0xb5078e31908894a953697aa7e5ca75423ff91677
- Realised P&L
- $-29.71
- Volume
- $6.3k
- Markets traded
- 355
- Open portfolio
- $2.24
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded355
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Sacramento Kings make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.071 | $2.24 | −$3.12 |
| Will AT&T (T) Q2 total revenue be above $31.8B? · Yes | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.58 |
| Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5 · Over | 0.690 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.59 |
| Washington Nationals vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5 · Over | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.94 |
| Seattle Storm vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 158.5 · Over | 0.630 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.87 |
| Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-3.5) · Colorado Rockies | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.32 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.80at 0.567Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
- +$5.11at 0.437Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies
- +$4.39at 0.557Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 166.5
- +$3.05at 0.637Spread: Spurs (-10.5)
- +$2.47at 0.815Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 4AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-13 02:45 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $9.27 |
| 07-12 08:50 | Will Elmedin Konaković be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina? | SELL | 0.2 | $4.84 |
| 07-12 08:47 | Will there be three UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027? | SELL | 0.12 | $1.04 |
| 07-12 08:05 | Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.78 | $5.13 |
| 07-11 12:43 | Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.4%? | SELL | 0.15 | $3.99 |
| 07-11 04:01 | Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.4%? | BUY | 0.16 | $4.26 |
| 07-08 10:27 | Will there be three UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.39 |
| 07-06 14:14 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $179 Week of July 6 2026? | SELL | 0.47 | $2.50 |
| 07-06 09:51 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $57 Week of July 6 2026? | BUY | 0.769999871 | $5.67 |
| 07-06 04:35 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $179 Week of July 6 2026? | SELL | 0.39 | $1.87 |
| 07-06 04:21 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $179 Week of July 6 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $4.04 |
| 07-05 05:14 | Will AT&T (T) Q2 total revenue be above $31.8B? | BUY | 0.51 | $0.58 |
| 07-05 01:29 | Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.962 | $8.87 |
| 07-05 01:26 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 15? | SELL | 0.984 | $9.93 |
| 07-03 05:09 | Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.9649999848 | $8.90 |