olivia09
0xb502e04a0a840235032a2948d64cb34fe85f0d4d
- Realised P&L
- $-181.10
- Volume
- $12.1k
- Markets traded
- 82
- Open portfolio
- $16.59
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded82
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration94.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 8? · No | 0.770 | 0.895 | $8.35 | +$1.17 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on October 8? · Yes | 0.604 | 0.480 | $8.24 | −$2.13 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$84.58at 0.450Will Real Madrid win La Liga?
- +$21.85at 0.780Will Ethereum hit $3000 by Friday?
- +$2.07at 0.590Will CDU/CSU and SPD form the next German Government?
- +$1.00at 0.800Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 10?
- +$0.42at 0.993Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 08:04 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on October 8? | BUY | 0.6038738892 | $10.37 |
| 01-31 14:00 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in January? | BUY | 0.998999723 | $3.13 |
| 01-31 13:40 | Will Oracle be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.06 |
| 01-30 15:51 | Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of January? | BUY | 0.998 | $31.88 |
| 01-30 14:33 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $17.91 |
| 01-30 14:11 | Will Oracle be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.12 |
| 12-30 08:18 | Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.98 |
| 12-30 01:09 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.995 | $18.12 |
| 12-30 00:59 | Will XRP reach $4.00 before 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $24.01 |
| 12-30 00:18 | Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $17.69 |
| 12-29 20:08 | Will XRP reach $4.00 before 2026? | BUY | 0.9989999559 | $18.18 |
| 10-30 20:40 | Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? | BUY | 0.998 | $28.36 |
| 10-30 19:35 | Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October? | BUY | 0.998999974 | $23.37 |
| 10-30 18:16 | Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $21.65 |
| 09-29 13:47 | Will Mistral AI have the second best AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.998 | $15.48 |