lossleedr
0xb500a1c6efd0ca90cf7ffb6bf7b641d299cf6db0
- Realised P&L
- $-302.38
- Volume
- $8.0k
- Markets traded
- 123
- Open portfolio
- $9.90
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded123
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jets vs. Bears: O/U 43.5 · Over | 0.500 | 0.495 | $9.90 | −$0.10 |
| US recession in 2025? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| US government shutdown Saturday? · No | 0.491 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$130.00 |
| Jets vs. Bills · Jets | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Sam Darnold win the Super Bowl LX MVP? · Yes | 0.473 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will Arvell Reese be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? · No | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals? · No | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Chargers vs. Broncos · Chargers | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Chargers vs. Bills · Chargers | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$84.19at 0.377Knicks vs. Spurs
- +$64.82at 0.536Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)
- +$62.70at 0.430Jets vs. Commanders
- +$54.17at 0.480Super Bowl LIX Winner
- +$54.17at 0.480Lions vs. Vikings
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 12:33 | Jets vs. Bears: O/U 43.5 | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 10-01 12:33 | Jets vs. Bears: O/U 43.5 | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 09-26 18:57 | Chargers vs. Bills | BUY | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 09-26 18:57 | Chargers vs. Bills | BUY | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 09-26 18:55 | Spread: Lions (-6.5) | BUY | 0.5199999908 | $25.00 |
| 09-26 18:55 | Spread: Lions (-6.5) | BUY | 0.5199999908 | $25.00 |
| 08-26 13:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 06-04 04:02 | Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.209999974 | $5.00 |
| 06-03 08:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET | SELL | 0.81 | $4.88 |
| 06-03 08:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET | BUY | 0.8299999967 | $5.00 |
| 06-03 08:11 | Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.3699999957 | $50.00 |
| 04-19 01:19 | Will Arvell Reese be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft? | BUY | 0.4399999894 | $10.00 |
| 02-08 23:47 | Will Sam Darnold win the Super Bowl LX MVP? | BUY | 0.4729063989 | $20.00 |
| 02-08 23:45 | Spread: Seahawks (-4.5) | BUY | 0.5363947106 | $75.00 |
| 01-30 04:32 | US government shutdown Saturday? | BUY | 0.3499999895 | $20.00 |