0xb50086297daeba645932890d0bf0bdff2105f8fb
0xb50086297daeba645932890d0bf0bdff2105f8fb
- Realised P&L
- $0.39
- Volume
- $342.86
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $4.41
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration63.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)85.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will David Lisnard win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.093 | 0.142 | $4.41 | +$1.53 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET · Up | 0.700 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET · Up | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.89 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - July 20, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET · Down | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.92at 0.365Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?
- +$1.71at 0.150Ethereum Up or Down - July 20, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
- +$1.21at 0.359Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET
- +$1.21at 0.126Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 20?
- +$0.88at 0.112Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-19 13:07 | Will David Lisnard win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.093 | $2.88 |
| 07-26 01:11 | Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.128 | $12.07 |
| 07-22 10:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET | BUY | 0.549999956 | $5.00 |
| 07-21 18:06 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $14.27 |
| 07-21 12:29 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.3499999615 | $5.00 |
| 07-20 21:52 | Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.1059999912 | $10.00 |
| 07-20 21:41 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.44 | $4.89 |
| 07-20 21:32 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 20? | SELL | 0.18 | $0.11 |
| 07-20 21:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET | SELL | 0.04 | $0.19 |
| 07-20 21:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET | BUY | 0.2099998677 | $1.00 |
| 07-20 21:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET | SELL | 0.79 | $2.32 |
| 07-20 21:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET | BUY | 0.33999983 | $1.00 |
| 07-20 21:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET | SELL | 0.67 | $1.11 |
| 07-20 21:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET | BUY | 0.6 | $1.00 |
| 07-20 21:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |