PolyBot

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Traders

420B137

0xb4fb61524078c01d15c4f35f069d32f6198f7f7b

Realised P&L
$-8.01
Volume
$4.3k
Markets traded
20
Open portfolio
$187.72

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded20
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)87.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration57.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-13 12:42Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 15?BUY0.8139263506$87.40
09-13 12:30US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?SELL0.17$40.39
08-22 06:24Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?BUY0.4007309921$34.63
08-22 06:23Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?BUY0.2375$19.00
08-22 06:22Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?BUY0.1649999911$13.00
07-27 22:12US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?BUY0.6312757687$150.00
06-29 03:27US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?BUY0.8052312894$176.00
06-06 08:05Will "Obsession" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 21m and 24m?BUY0.3333287937$35.00
06-06 08:05Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 48m and 52m?BUY0.5333967157$60.00
05-02 04:46Will "ALL OF A SUDDEN by HAMAGUCHI Ryusuke" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?BUY0.1207142783$13.00
05-02 04:44Will "HOPE by NA Hong-jin" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?BUY0.1987999711$22.00
05-02 04:42Will "SHEEP IN THE BOX by KORE-EDA Hirokazu" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?BUY0.2685714249$35.00
04-16 23:11Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?BUY0.64$135.00
04-16 23:10Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?SELL0.9213896167$189.19
03-23 03:00Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?BUY0.75$154.00