0xb4F978BE63cDF75554b0B46a4262a6dB597cc9A7-1779258330186
0xb4f978be63cdf75554b0b46a4262a6db597cc9a7
- Realised P&L
- $-63.6k
- Volume
- $2.66M
- Markets traded
- 335
- Open portfolio
- $9.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded335
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration79.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Falcons vs. Packers: O/U 43.5 · Under | 0.530 | 0.525 | $7.3k | −$69.28 |
| Falcons vs. Packers · Falcons | 0.287 | 0.305 | $1.1k | +$63.88 |
| Spread: Packers (-6.5) · Falcons | 0.530 | 0.555 | $780.02 | +$35.14 |
| Colts vs. Patriots · Patriots | 0.610 | 0.500 | $77.13 | −$16.92 |
| Falcons vs. Packers: O/U 44.5 · Over | 0.460 | 0.435 | $4.72 | −$0.27 |
| Singapore Open: Talia Gibson vs Viktoria Morvayova · Viktoria Morvayova | 0.090 | 0.006 | $0.35 | −$4.43 |
| Athletics vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 6.5 · Over | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.9k |
| Oregon vs. Oklahoma State: O/U 54.5 · Under | 0.505 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.05 |
| Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers · Chicago White Sox | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Cleveland Guardians vs. Colorado Rockies · Colorado Rockies | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.7k |
| Oregon vs. Oklahoma State: O/U 55.5 · Under | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$535.28 |
| Golden State Valkyries vs. Indiana Fever · Indiana Fever | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox · Baltimore Orioles | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$300.00 |
| Spread: Kennesaw State (-8.5) · Kennesaw State | 0.495 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.6k |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks · Arizona Diamondbacks | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.5k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$37.1kat 0.249Patriots vs. Seahawks
- +$29.9kat 0.514Spread: James Madison (-14.5)
- +$27.7kat 0.522Spread: Rams (-6.5)
- +$23.3kat 0.187Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians
- +$20.3kat 0.552Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 05:39 | Hangzhou Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Hugo Gaston | BUY | 0.7199999559 | $1.96 |
| 09-24 05:38 | Shimabukuro vs. Gaston: Match O/U 22.5 | BUY | 0.8 | $1.97 |
| 09-24 01:53 | Miami Marlins vs. Chicago Cubs | BUY | 0.3599999997 | $355.54 |
| 09-24 01:52 | Falcons vs. Packers: O/U 43.5 | BUY | 0.53 | $7.3k |
| 09-24 01:47 | Cleveland Guardians vs. Boston Red Sox | BUY | 0.03 | $90.09 |
| 09-24 01:10 | New York Mets vs. Texas Rangers | BUY | 0.28 | $4.5k |
| 09-23 23:11 | Singapore Open: Talia Gibson vs Viktoria Morvayova | BUY | 0.0899999985 | $4.78 |
| 09-23 23:04 | Bondar vs. Charaeva: Match O/U 21.5 | BUY | 0.5047042164 | $4.87 |
| 09-23 23:04 | Bondar vs. Charaeva: Match O/U 21.5 | BUY | 0.5099999791 | $4.87 |
| 09-23 23:04 | Korea Open: Anna Bondar vs Alina Charaeva | BUY | 0.3599999851 | $4.84 |
| 09-23 22:40 | Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.54 | $24.4k |
| 09-23 22:33 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.55 | $16.3k |
| 09-23 00:37 | Falcons vs. Packers: O/U 44.5 | BUY | 0.4599999613 | $4.99 |
| 09-23 00:17 | Spread: Packers (-6.5) | BUY | 0.5299999997 | $744.88 |
| 09-22 13:47 | St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | BUY | 0.5499999861 | $7.94 |