0xb4F978BE63cDF75554b0B46a4262a6dB597cc9A7-1779258330186
0xb4f978be63cdf75554b0b46a4262a6db597cc9a7
- Realised P&L
- $7.7k
- Volume
- $74.6k
- Markets traded
- 77
- Open portfolio
- $206.23
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar10.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded77
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration89.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros · Toronto Blue Jays | 0.400 | 0.385 | $206.23 | −$8.04 |
| Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers · Chicago White Sox | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Golden State Valkyries vs. Indiana Fever · Indiana Fever | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox · Baltimore Orioles | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$300.00 |
| Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies · Washington Nationals | 0.760 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.88 |
| Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners · Seattle Mariners | 0.072 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$133.78 |
| Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers · Los Angeles Dodgers | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.9k |
| Will United States win on 2026-07-06? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$105.00 |
| Seattle Storm vs. New York Liberty · Seattle Storm | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.99 |
| Los Angeles Sparks vs. Atlanta Dream · Los Angeles Sparks | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals · St. Louis Cardinals | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will New York City FC win on 2026-07-31? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.59 |
| Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5 · Over | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$974.65 |
| Spread: Washington Mystics (-5.5) · Washington Mystics | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.67 |
| Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5) · Minnesota Twins | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.25 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.2kat 0.180Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cleveland Guardians
- +$404.04at 0.520Phoenix Mercury vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 178.5
- +$373.87at 0.430Cleveland Guardians vs. Miami Marlins
- +$263.60at 0.470Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5
- +$198.83at 0.550Philadelphia Phillies vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 03:09 | Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros | BUY | 0.4 | $117.19 |
| 08-05 03:02 | Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners | BUY | 0.07 | $114.66 |
| 08-05 02:53 | Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners | BUY | 0.0899999959 | $19.12 |
| 08-05 02:51 | Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros | BUY | 0.4 | $97.08 |
| 08-05 02:43 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado Rockies | BUY | 0.2 | $22.74 |
| 08-05 02:35 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado Rockies | BUY | 0.2099999927 | $19.23 |
| 08-04 01:30 | San Francisco Giants vs. Texas Rangers | BUY | 0.2099999999 | $961.99 |
| 08-03 23:31 | Phoenix Mercury vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 178.5 | BUY | 0.52 | $437.71 |
| 08-03 23:19 | Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies | BUY | 0.76 | $9.88 |
| 08-03 23:02 | Seattle Storm vs. New York Liberty | BUY | 0.25 | $4.99 |
| 08-02 21:38 | Los Angeles Sparks vs. PortlandFire | BUY | 0.8 | $9.89 |
| 08-02 03:14 | Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | BUY | 0.1899999999 | $1.9k |
| 08-02 02:48 | San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres | BUY | 0.0932790241 | $342.25 |
| 08-02 00:38 | Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cleveland Guardians | BUY | 0.1811931953 | $647.39 |
| 08-02 00:38 | Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cleveland Guardians | BUY | 0.18 | $959.31 |