PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xb4F978BE63cDF75554b0B46a4262a6dB597cc9A7-1779258330186

0xb4f978be63cdf75554b0b46a4262a6db597cc9a7

Realised P&L
$-63.6k
Volume
$2.66M
Markets traded
335
Open portfolio
$9.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded335
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration79.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Falcons vs. Packers: O/U 43.5 · Under0.5300.525$7.3k$69.28
Falcons vs. Packers · Falcons0.2870.305$1.1k+$63.88
Spread: Packers (-6.5) · Falcons0.5300.555$780.02+$35.14
Colts vs. Patriots · Patriots0.6100.500$77.13$16.92
Falcons vs. Packers: O/U 44.5 · Over0.4600.435$4.72$0.27
Singapore Open: Talia Gibson vs Viktoria Morvayova · Viktoria Morvayova0.0900.006$0.35$4.43
Athletics vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 6.5 · Over0.5700.000$0.00$2.9k
Oregon vs. Oklahoma State: O/U 54.5 · Under0.5050.000$0.00$5.05
Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers · Chicago White Sox0.3700.000$0.00$5.00
Cleveland Guardians vs. Colorado Rockies · Colorado Rockies0.2100.000$0.00$1.7k
Oregon vs. Oklahoma State: O/U 55.5 · Under0.5300.000$0.00$535.28
Golden State Valkyries vs. Indiana Fever · Indiana Fever0.5300.000$0.00$1.00
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox · Baltimore Orioles0.4100.000$0.00$300.00
Spread: Kennesaw State (-8.5) · Kennesaw State0.4950.000$0.00$14.6k
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks · Arizona Diamondbacks0.1700.000$0.00$1.5k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-24 05:39Hangzhou Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Hugo GastonBUY0.7199999559$1.96
09-24 05:38Shimabukuro vs. Gaston: Match O/U 22.5BUY0.8$1.97
09-24 01:53Miami Marlins vs. Chicago CubsBUY0.3599999997$355.54
09-24 01:52Falcons vs. Packers: O/U 43.5BUY0.53$7.3k
09-24 01:47Cleveland Guardians vs. Boston Red SoxBUY0.03$90.09
09-24 01:10New York Mets vs. Texas RangersBUY0.28$4.5k
09-23 23:11Singapore Open: Talia Gibson vs Viktoria MorvayovaBUY0.0899999985$4.78
09-23 23:04Bondar vs. Charaeva: Match O/U 21.5BUY0.5047042164$4.87
09-23 23:04Bondar vs. Charaeva: Match O/U 21.5BUY0.5099999791$4.87
09-23 23:04Korea Open: Anna Bondar vs Alina CharaevaBUY0.3599999851$4.84
09-23 22:40Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5BUY0.54$24.4k
09-23 22:33Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5BUY0.55$16.3k
09-23 00:37Falcons vs. Packers: O/U 44.5BUY0.4599999613$4.99
09-23 00:17Spread: Packers (-6.5)BUY0.5299999997$744.88
09-22 13:47St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh PiratesBUY0.5499999861$7.94