0xb4f6b2340dea4ee963b95eaec3a7c8301e96dbe4
0xb4f6b2340dea4ee963b95eaec3a7c8301e96dbe4
- Realised P&L
- $17.45
- Volume
- $387.21
- Markets traded
- 81
- Open portfolio
- $6.52
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded81
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump renames AI by September 30? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.495 | $1.55 | +$0.55 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.20% in September? · Yes | 0.750 | 0.890 | $1.19 | +$0.19 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? · No | 0.660 | 0.580 | $0.88 | −$0.12 |
| Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $70 Week of September 28 2026? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.585 | $0.87 | −$0.13 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? · No | 0.780 | 0.655 | $0.84 | −$0.16 |
| Trump renames AI by September 30? · No | 0.720 | 0.505 | $0.70 | −$0.30 |
| Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in September? · No | 0.450 | 0.220 | $0.49 | −$0.51 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.19at 0.270Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?
- +$5.82at 0.288Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina?
- +$4.80at 0.329Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in August?
- +$4.80at 0.329S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 10?
- +$3.84at 0.379Will Trump say "Kamala" during remarks in New York?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 05:40 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $70 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 21:39 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $62 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 06:08 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in September? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 08:15 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.20% in September? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 07:53 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | BUY | 0.7799995632 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 18:28 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 10:27 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 25? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 02:27 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 15:31 | Will Costco say "Hot Dog" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 15:21 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 06:01 | Will Trump say "Economy" or "Economic" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.6699999912 | $2.29 |
| 09-23 09:59 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $89 on September 23? | BUY | 0.7199999497 | $2.29 |
| 09-23 00:27 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on September 23? | BUY | 0.7899999759 | $2.29 |
| 09-21 23:18 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $397.50 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.29 |
| 09-21 15:17 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.4299999512 | $2.29 |