divineth
0xb4f1a245226aa93df074e8af9b761a7937e977d6
- Realised P&L
- $-21.80
- Volume
- $980.02
- Markets traded
- 66
- Open portfolio
- $3.97
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded66
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $25B by December 31? · Yes | 0.041 | 0.111 | $1.88 | +$1.18 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.072 | $1.08 | −$1.02 |
| Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.618 | 0.058 | $0.92 | −$8.96 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.008 | $0.10 | −$0.98 |
| Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs Heroic (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Qualifier Playoffs · Heroic | 0.690 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.45 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026? · No | 0.009 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.70 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.07at 0.082Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?
- +$6.04at 0.597LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Playoffs
- +$2.56at 0.208Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?
- +$2.40at 0.160Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?
- +$1.92at 0.210Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-10 09:44 | Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $25B by December 31? | BUY | 0.041 | $1.03 |
| 09-03 19:56 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026? | SELL | 0.93 | $10.69 |
| 09-03 15:14 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.079 | $1.03 |
| 09-03 12:21 | LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Playoffs | SELL | 0.09 | $0.63 |
| 09-02 17:43 | Counter-Strike: K27 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Qualifier Playoffs | SELL | 0.23 | $1.84 |
| 09-02 14:06 | Counter-Strike: Color vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Qualifier Playoffs | SELL | 0.63 | $12.60 |
| 09-02 13:38 | Counter-Strike: Color vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Qualifier Playoffs | SELL | 0.09 | $0.90 |
| 09-02 13:38 | Counter-Strike: Color vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Qualifier Playoffs | BUY | 0.11 | $1.10 |
| 09-02 12:02 | LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Playoffs | BUY | 0.58 | $2.90 |
| 09-01 20:06 | US Open WTA: Maria Sakkari vs Robin Montgomery | BUY | 0.634 | $3.80 |
| 08-30 17:25 | Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Legacy (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B | BUY | 0.63 | $3.15 |
| 08-20 10:04 | Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.02 |
| 08-13 18:06 | Counter-Strike: BIG vs G2 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group A | SELL | 0.999 | $5.99 |
| 08-13 09:23 | LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana | BUY | 0.7299999087 | $2.00 |
| 08-12 21:42 | National Bank Open: Coco Gauff vs Elena Rybakina | BUY | 0.4599999141 | $1.50 |