PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xb4f0341bbb63e0e18d2edc724dc9f1459eff3196

Realised P&L
$-2.2k
Volume
$651.6k
Markets traded
1,562
Open portfolio
$140.40

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,562
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration29.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI? · Yes0.5540.500$45.86$4.96
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? · Yes0.6200.500$35.55$8.53
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI? · No0.4500.500$31.79+$3.18
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? · Yes0.4880.500$16.25+$0.39
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.6100.815$5.34+$1.34
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? · No0.5341.000$2.15+$1.00
Will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit 15 Gwei before 2027? · Yes0.1400.230$1.15+$0.45
Will PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · Yes0.0300.031$0.83+$0.03
Will Ethena reach $1.00 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3050.029$0.71$6.68
Will Ethena reach $0.70 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4830.061$0.51$3.49
Will Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · Yes0.0700.015$0.18$0.62
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · Yes0.0390.019$0.10$0.10
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 48-49°F on May 13? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$1.00
Will the New York Islanders win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00$3.37
Will Brent Barker be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-19 00:24Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 19?BUY0.002$1.00
06-17 08:30Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 17?BUY0.001$0.21
06-17 08:21Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 17?BUY0.001$1.00
06-17 08:15Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C or higher on June 17?BUY0.001$1.00
06-09 02:06Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 9?BUY0.002$1.00
05-23 18:26Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on May 24?BUY0.001$1.00
05-17 10:40Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on May 17?BUY0.001$1.00
05-13 04:05Will the highest temperature in Denver be 47°F or below on May 13?BUY0.001$1.00
05-13 03:50Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 64-65°F on May 13?BUY0.002$0.02
05-13 00:23Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on May 13?BUY0.001$1.00
05-13 00:18Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 48-49°F on May 13?BUY0.001$1.00
05-13 00:09Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 13?BUY0.001$1.00
05-13 00:05Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 13?BUY0.001$1.00
05-13 00:02Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on May 13?BUY0.001$1.00
05-12 16:09Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 60-61°F on May 13?BUY0.001$0.93