PolyBot

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Traders

abchrufi

0xb4f0341bbb63e0e18d2edc724dc9f1459eff3196

Realised P&L
$-2.4k
Volume
$758.5k
Markets traded
1,879
Open portfolio
$8.82

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,879
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration47.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration66.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-13 17:37Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 14?BUY0.002$0.59
10-13 00:19Ethereum Up or Down on October 13?BUY0.05$1.00
10-12 14:37Solana Up or Down on October 12?BUY0.005$0.74
10-11 00:34Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C or higher on October 12?BUY0.002$0.39
10-11 00:34Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on October 12?BUY0.002$0.45
10-11 00:34Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on October 11?BUY0.06$0.36
10-11 00:34Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 11?BUY0.004$0.13
10-11 00:29Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 12?BUY0.002$0.32
10-11 00:28Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C or higher on October 11?BUY0.002$0.17
10-11 00:17Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 11?BUY0.04$0.80
10-11 00:16Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on October 11?BUY0.01$0.40
10-11 00:16Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on October 11?BUY0.002$0.10
10-11 00:11Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on October 11?BUY0.008$0.11
10-11 00:10Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on October 11?BUY0.002$0.25
10-09 00:33Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on October 9?BUY0.004$0.07