0xb4f0341bbb63e0e18d2edc724dc9f1459eff3196
- Realised P&L
- $-2.2k
- Volume
- $651.6k
- Markets traded
- 1,562
- Open portfolio
- $140.40
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,562
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration29.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$359.48at 0.050Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on March 15?
- +$130.68at 0.010Solana Up or Down - March 22, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
- +$126.69at 0.010Ethereum Up or Down - March 22, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
- +$70.41at 0.014Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 10?
- +$68.64at 0.540Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-19 00:24 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 19? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 06-17 08:30 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 17? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.21 |
| 06-17 08:21 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 17? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 06-17 08:15 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C or higher on June 17? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 06-09 02:06 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 9? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 05-23 18:26 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on May 24? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 05-17 10:40 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on May 17? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 05-13 04:05 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be 47°F or below on May 13? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 05-13 03:50 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 64-65°F on May 13? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.02 |
| 05-13 00:23 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on May 13? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 05-13 00:18 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 48-49°F on May 13? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 05-13 00:09 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 13? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 05-13 00:05 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 13? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 05-13 00:02 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on May 13? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 05-12 16:09 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 60-61°F on May 13? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.93 |