abchrufi
0xb4f0341bbb63e0e18d2edc724dc9f1459eff3196
- Realised P&L
- $-2.4k
- Volume
- $758.5k
- Markets traded
- 1,879
- Open portfolio
- $8.82
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,879
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration47.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$359.48at 0.050Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on March 15?
- +$186.20at 0.002Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on October 8?
- +$130.68at 0.010Solana Up or Down - March 22, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
- +$126.69at 0.010Ethereum Up or Down - March 22, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
- +$70.41at 0.014Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 17:37 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.59 |
| 10-13 00:19 | Ethereum Up or Down on October 13? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 14:37 | Solana Up or Down on October 12? | BUY | 0.005 | $0.74 |
| 10-11 00:34 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C or higher on October 12? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.39 |
| 10-11 00:34 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on October 12? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.45 |
| 10-11 00:34 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.06 | $0.36 |
| 10-11 00:34 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 11? | BUY | 0.004 | $0.13 |
| 10-11 00:29 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.32 |
| 10-11 00:28 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C or higher on October 11? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.17 |
| 10-11 00:17 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.04 | $0.80 |
| 10-11 00:16 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.40 |
| 10-11 00:16 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.10 |
| 10-11 00:11 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.008 | $0.11 |
| 10-11 00:10 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.25 |
| 10-09 00:33 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.004 | $0.07 |