PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

HyperwellNerdZ

0xb4eea1c82f0c4cf7e02e69212bd447a63314cc59

Realised P&L
$65.7k
Volume
$1.38M
Markets traded
507
Open portfolio
$60.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.8%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded507
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration72.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · No0.6330.605$25.5k$1.2k
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.4290.460$10.7k+$711.70
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · No0.9190.935$9.8k+$163.19
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.9840.977$1.6k$12.70
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0700.086$1.5k+$277.37
Will Consolidated Edison (ED) beat quarterly earnings? · No0.3190.575$1.1k+$470.17
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No0.9880.990$989.50+$1.50
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No0.9860.979$978.50$7.50
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.9530.955$971.54+$1.36
Databricks IPO before 2027? · No0.9480.920$922.00$28.10
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.9200.915$915.25$5.00
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? · No0.8800.865$866.95$15.04
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? · No0.8500.845$847.01$4.99
Will USA Today (TDAY) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.6860.585$688.19$118.82
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · Yes0.4180.315$414.23$135.78

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-31 04:42Will Wynn Resorts (WYNN) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.6193830218$27.51
07-31 04:42Will Consolidated Edison (ED) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.3046510351$543.63
07-31 04:36Will Opendoor Technologies (OPEN) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.7968899895$326.62
07-30 08:12Will Denis Bouanga win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot?BUY0.09966357$1.50
07-30 08:09Will B.J. Callaghan win 2026 MLS Coach of the Year?BUY0.077$2.69
07-29 21:22Kansas City Current vs. Racing Louisville FC: O/U 4.5BUY0.79$595.66
07-29 21:21Kansas City Current vs. Racing Louisville FC: O/U 4.5BUY0.79$79.00
07-29 21:20Kansas City Current vs. Racing Louisville FC: O/U 4.5BUY0.8061161776$2.5k
07-29 02:13Procter & Gamble (PG) Q4 organic sales growth 3.5%+?BUY0.94$5.42
07-29 02:06Will USA Today (TDAY) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.6833454779$596.44
07-29 01:33Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.48$9.60
07-29 01:32Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.495$4.95
07-29 01:32Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.495$9.90
07-29 01:32Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.4775$9.55
07-29 01:32Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.3952959464$324.24