DanielRicalde95
0xb4eea071a1902d48ef012286c0167a1d275ee7f4
- Realised P&L
- $-6.19
- Volume
- $1.6k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $0.37
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in September 2026? · Yes | 0.044 | 0.017 | $0.37 | −$0.63 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on August 28? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 28, 2026? · No | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Trump say "Red Card" in August? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.56 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-29 03:07 | Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.56 |
| 08-29 02:48 | Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in September 2026? | BUY | 0.0443349341 | $1.00 |
| 08-27 21:00 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on August 28? | BUY | 0.4099998237 | $1.00 |
| 08-27 20:47 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.1099999032 | $1.00 |
| 08-27 20:39 | Will Trump say "Red Card" in August? | BUY | 0.0498693423 | $2.00 |