losingmoneyz
0xb4e46923018d43690fe7a2e43b3a622c99abd81f
- Realised P&L
- $-769.13
- Volume
- $5.1k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $19.53
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-15.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration50.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.845 | 0.055 | $19.53 | −$280.47 |
| Will Axiom be accused of insider trading? · No | 0.654 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$23.07at 0.650US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
- +$17.17at 0.920Over $50M committed to the Ranger public sale?
- +$4.12at 0.970Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?
- +$0.98at 0.901Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?
- +$-8.33at 0.120Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-26 11:20 | Will Axiom be accused of insider trading? | BUY | 0.6543183628 | $200.00 |
| 02-16 10:36 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | SELL | 0.11 | $91.67 |
| 02-01 20:20 | US government shutdown Saturday? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.33 |
| 01-27 23:51 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | BUY | 0.119999999 | $100.00 |
| 01-27 23:28 | US government shutdown Saturday? | BUY | 0.2999999982 | $100.00 |
| 01-27 21:09 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | SELL | 0.017 | $3.86 |
| 01-14 21:47 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BUY | 0.2199999968 | $50.00 |
| 01-14 21:30 | US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.649999999 | $100.00 |
| 01-12 19:05 | Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8450416359 | $300.00 |
| 01-10 15:58 | Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale? | SELL | 0.99 | $204.12 |
| 01-10 15:57 | Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale? | BUY | 0.9699999999 | $200.00 |
| 01-10 15:51 | Over $70M committed to the Ranger public sale? | SELL | 0.09 | $20.13 |
| 01-10 15:47 | Over $50M committed to the Ranger public sale? | SELL | 0.999 | $217.17 |
| 01-10 15:42 | Over $70M committed to the Ranger public sale? | BUY | 0.8941877793 | $200.00 |
| 01-10 15:40 | Over $50M committed to the Ranger public sale? | BUY | 0.92 | $200.00 |