wedg
0xb4df99d796c35d47ab7663cea83ad97007eb5d3e
- Realised P&L
- $-16.20
- Volume
- $65.7k
- Markets traded
- 127
- Open portfolio
- $32.04
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded127
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.32at 0.585Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
- +$1.81at 0.819Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?
- +$1.36at 0.830Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?
- +$1.30at 0.870Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?
- +$0.75at 0.870Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 10:50 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | BUY | 0.8799997184 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 10:50 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 10:50 | Iran leadership change by October 31? | BUY | 0.9451322382 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 10:49 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 10:49 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 10:48 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.12 | $0.17 |
| 09-16 10:48 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.12 | $0.17 |
| 08-28 11:21 | Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9399999937 | $3.00 |
| 08-28 11:21 | Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9199999816 | $2.00 |
| 08-28 11:21 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.954999997 | $8.00 |
| 08-28 11:21 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 08-28 11:21 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.719999856 | $1.00 |
| 08-28 11:20 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.8799995072 | $1.00 |
| 08-28 11:20 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.8899994126 | $1.00 |
| 08-28 11:20 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | BUY | 0.66 | $1.00 |