wthellyonte
0xb4de513676659b3def9bcce82dc6ec91c104cb5c
- Realised P&L
- $4.7k
- Volume
- $530.5k
- Markets traded
- 444
- Open portfolio
- $3.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded444
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No | 0.356 | 0.936 | $1.9k | +$1.2k |
| Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch? · No | 0.605 | 0.950 | $1.7k | +$619.43 |
| Games Total: O/U 3.5 · Over | 0.750 | 0.740 | $19.73 | −$0.27 |
| Games Total: O/U 3.5 · Under | 0.549 | 0.530 | $19.32 | −$0.68 |
| Cambria listed on Coinbase within 30 days of TGE? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.045 | $15.75 | −$36.75 |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO1) · Hanwha Life Esports | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? · Yes | 0.730 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.37 |
| Falcons vs. Patriots · Falcons | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$24.96 |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-11-04? · No | 0.650 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner · Gen.G | 0.694 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Bills vs. Rams · Rams | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$21.08 |
| Will TYLOO win the 2025 Blast Premier Rivals Season 2 Tournament? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.00 |
| Will Kai or Speed be eliminated by the void? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.40 |
| Games Total: O/U 3.5 · Under | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$44.99 |
| Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? · Under | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.080Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?
- +$966.86at 0.981Over $600M committed to the Monad public sale?
- +$787.73at 0.977Over $800M committed to the Monad public sale?
- +$591.96at 0.080Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?
- +$489.70at 0.170Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 17:37 | Games Total: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.75 | $20.00 |
| 11-01 17:37 | Games Total: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.5486284207 | $20.00 |
| 10-25 00:03 | Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? | BUY | 0.4899999944 | $20.00 |
| 10-24 23:20 | LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage | BUY | 0.4699999944 | $20.00 |
| 10-24 20:57 | Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? | BUY | 0.4299999991 | $20.00 |
| 10-24 20:57 | LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team Secret Whales (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage | BUY | 0.7099999953 | $30.00 |
| 10-24 20:44 | LoL: LYON vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage | SELL | 0.84 | $23.68 |
| 10-24 20:12 | LoL: LYON vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage | BUY | 0.4299999991 | $20.00 |
| 10-24 20:04 | Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1? | BUY | 0.5799999936 | $20.00 |
| 10-24 20:02 | Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? | BUY | 0.5 | $20.00 |
| 10-23 23:54 | Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? | BUY | 0.524752469 | $20.00 |
| 10-23 23:18 | Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? | BUY | 0.5499999853 | $15.00 |
| 10-23 22:17 | Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? | BUY | 0.49 | $19.60 |
| 10-23 21:13 | LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage | BUY | 0.599999994 | $20.00 |
| 10-23 19:37 | Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? | BUY | 0.5099999906 | $20.00 |