Mercedes-W123
0xb4d841f262a86a40dbbf276837ee4a3759800c8c
- Realised P&L
- $-12.76
- Volume
- $235.8k
- Markets traded
- 793
- Open portfolio
- $6.05
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded793
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration74.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$266.18at 0.269Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on February 5?
- +$251.37at 0.027Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on February 9?
- +$194.23at 0.242Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on February 16?
- +$183.53at 0.680Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 32°C on February 17?
- +$165.28at 0.085Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C on February 5?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 18:31 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.02 | $0.42 |
| 09-17 17:22 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.109999989 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 15:48 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.0699999965 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 15:03 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.2432616522 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 14:41 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.09 | $0.82 |
| 09-17 13:16 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.109999989 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 12:41 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.0036272 | $0.09 |
| 09-17 11:53 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on September 17? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.02 |
| 09-17 09:10 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.98 | $22.08 |
| 09-16 21:34 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.5769068792 | $13.00 |
| 09-16 21:32 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on September 16? | SELL | 0.8665019506 | $13.33 |
| 09-16 20:19 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on September 16? | BUY | 0.6499999935 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 20:18 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on September 16? | SELL | 0.97 | $10.11 |
| 09-16 19:00 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on September 16? | BUY | 0.8631523181 | $9.00 |
| 09-16 17:46 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.8150283135 | $7.00 |