PolyBot

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Traders

Mercedes-W123

0xb4d841f262a86a40dbbf276837ee4a3759800c8c

Realised P&L
$-12.76
Volume
$235.8k
Markets traded
793
Open portfolio
$6.05

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded793
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration74.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 18:31Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on September 18?BUY0.02$0.42
09-17 17:22Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 18?BUY0.109999989$1.00
09-17 15:48Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 18?BUY0.0699999965$1.00
09-17 15:03Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on September 17?BUY0.2432616522$2.00
09-17 14:41Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on September 17?SELL0.09$0.82
09-17 13:16Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on September 17?BUY0.109999989$1.00
09-17 12:41Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on September 17?SELL0.0036272$0.09
09-17 11:53Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on September 17?SELL0.003$0.02
09-17 09:10Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on September 17?SELL0.98$22.08
09-16 21:34Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on September 17?BUY0.5769068792$13.00
09-16 21:32Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on September 16?SELL0.8665019506$13.33
09-16 20:19Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on September 16?BUY0.6499999935$10.00
09-16 20:18Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on September 16?SELL0.97$10.11
09-16 19:00Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on September 16?BUY0.8631523181$9.00
09-16 17:46Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on September 16?BUY0.8150283135$7.00