solin1292
0xb4d2adba840e7df5bc2bedbd1402dd552482c4f2
- Realised P&L
- $-513.95
- Volume
- $6.6k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $1.9k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration64.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration72.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will voter turnout be between 59% and 62% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.556 | 0.963 | $1.4k | +$591.30 |
| Will Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) finish second on the party-list vote in Moscow? · Yes | 0.730 | 0.990 | $499.55 | +$131.35 |
| Will Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) finish second on the party-list vote in Saint Petersburg? · Yes | 0.801 | 0.016 | $15.66 | −$768.07 |
| Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · Yes | 0.587 | 0.061 | $5.98 | −$51.05 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.88at 0.904Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$1.56at 0.337Will voter turnout be between 56% and 59% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?
- +$-3.30at 0.270Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
- +$-32.76at 0.719Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
- +$-67.71at 0.349Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 09:56 | Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.6909999433 | $3.57 |
| 09-21 09:53 | Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.0030250991 | $1.21 |
| 09-21 09:43 | Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? | SELL | 0.0108614431 | $2.17 |
| 09-21 09:41 | Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.699 | $7.69 |
| 09-21 09:41 | Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | SELL | 0.294 | $7.94 |
| 09-21 07:24 | Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.56 | $2.80 |
| 09-21 07:24 | Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.5666666667 | $8.50 |
| 09-21 07:22 | Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | SELL | 0.4273972603 | $31.20 |
| 09-21 07:17 | Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the fourth-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.0101304348 | $2.33 |
| 09-20 21:37 | Will voter turnout be between 59% and 62% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.6239999913 | $40.00 |
| 09-20 21:08 | Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.7175 | $28.70 |
| 09-20 19:39 | Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.27 | $9.69 |
| 09-20 19:08 | Will Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) finish second on the party-list vote in Saint Petersburg? | BUY | 0.91 | $66.43 |
| 09-20 19:00 | Will Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) finish second on the party-list vote in Saint Petersburg? | BUY | 0.9 | $22.50 |
| 09-20 19:00 | Will Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) finish second on the party-list vote in Saint Petersburg? | BUY | 0.89 | $8.90 |