0xB4d16f0346538FCceE67FfCec5c233a35D1d4c60-1729427300518
0xb4d16f0346538fccee67ffcec5c233a35d1d4c60
- Realised P&L
- $-17.1k
- Volume
- $424.3k
- Markets traded
- 70
- Open portfolio
- $5.7k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded70
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample47 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)55.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration72.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.7kat 0.147Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$1.3kat 0.306Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
- +$1.1kat 0.529Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
- +$1.0kat 0.360Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
- +$291.74at 0.592Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 08:25 | Will PAM win the next Moroccan legislative elections? | BUY | 0.2329142664 | $34.37 |
| 09-18 08:21 | Will RNI win the next Moroccan legislative elections? | BUY | 0.146 | $6.77 |
| 09-18 08:21 | Will PI win the next Moroccan legislative elections? | BUY | 0.0192673099 | $1.70 |
| 09-17 22:46 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.36 |
| 09-16 16:27 | Will PI win the next Moroccan legislative elections? | BUY | 0.0291880328 | $1.78 |
| 09-16 16:24 | Will RNI win the next Moroccan legislative elections? | BUY | 0.0900099754 | $12.81 |
| 09-15 08:23 | Will Adama Barrow win the 2026 Gambian presidential election? | BUY | 0.24 | $21.12 |
| 09-14 13:13 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.27 | $4.59 |
| 09-14 10:07 | Will Denis Bećirović be the Bosniak Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election? | BUY | 0.294342 | $14.72 |
| 09-14 10:02 | Will Semir Efendić be the Bosniak Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election? | BUY | 0.0077045413 | $1.26 |
| 09-14 09:20 | Will PI win the next Moroccan legislative elections? | BUY | 0.05 | $3.10 |
| 09-14 09:19 | Will RNI win the next Moroccan legislative elections? | BUY | 0.25 | $15.50 |
| 09-14 09:15 | Will RNI win the next Moroccan legislative elections? | BUY | 0.247 | $30.88 |
| 09-11 12:59 | Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.115 | $14.38 |
| 09-11 12:58 | Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.11 | $13.92 |