PolyBot

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Traders

0xB4d16f0346538FCceE67FfCec5c233a35D1d4c60-1729427300518

0xb4d16f0346538fccee67ffcec5c233a35d1d4c60

Realised P&L
$-17.1k
Volume
$424.3k
Markets traded
70
Open portfolio
$5.7k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded70
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration53.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample47 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)55.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration72.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.7170.633$4.1k$541.47
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · No0.7900.962$278.83+$49.73
Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.1060.114$231.57+$15.01
Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · No0.1470.125$227.73$39.60
Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.1320.105$190.21$48.35
Will RNI win the next Moroccan legislative elections? · Yes0.2330.171$106.48$38.51
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.2850.080$95.72$247.99
Will Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? · No0.1240.145$88.45+$13.01
Will Denis Bećirović be the Bosniak Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election? · No0.4030.330$77.88$17.14
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? · Yes0.5600.555$55.50$0.50
Will PI win the next Moroccan legislative elections? · Yes0.1230.064$42.16$39.88
Will PAM win the next Moroccan legislative elections? · No0.2330.265$39.10+$4.73
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.3000.065$26.65$96.29
Will Adama Barrow win the 2026 Gambian presidential election? · No0.2400.285$25.08+$3.96
Will Bakir Izetbegović be the Bosniak Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election? · Yes0.3840.300$23.90$6.71

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 08:25Will PAM win the next Moroccan legislative elections?BUY0.2329142664$34.37
09-18 08:21Will RNI win the next Moroccan legislative elections?BUY0.146$6.77
09-18 08:21Will PI win the next Moroccan legislative elections?BUY0.0192673099$1.70
09-17 22:46Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.08$1.36
09-16 16:27Will PI win the next Moroccan legislative elections?BUY0.0291880328$1.78
09-16 16:24Will RNI win the next Moroccan legislative elections?BUY0.0900099754$12.81
09-15 08:23Will Adama Barrow win the 2026 Gambian presidential election?BUY0.24$21.12
09-14 13:13Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?SELL0.27$4.59
09-14 10:07Will Denis Bećirović be the Bosniak Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?BUY0.294342$14.72
09-14 10:02Will Semir Efendić be the Bosniak Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?BUY0.0077045413$1.26
09-14 09:20Will PI win the next Moroccan legislative elections?BUY0.05$3.10
09-14 09:19Will RNI win the next Moroccan legislative elections?BUY0.25$15.50
09-14 09:15Will RNI win the next Moroccan legislative elections?BUY0.247$30.88
09-11 12:59Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.115$14.38
09-11 12:58Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.11$13.92