fxckkrdog
0xb4cecbca7b4a1b2b08f7284027c914f00fae49e0
- Realised P&L
- $1.5k
- Volume
- $265.7k
- Markets traded
- 969
- Open portfolio
- $0.74
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded969
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 25? · Yes | 0.168 | 0.004 | $0.74 | −$35.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$220.69at 0.237Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 25?
- +$195.11at 0.178Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 18?
- +$182.25at 0.270Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 1?
- +$180.76at 0.294Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 30?
- +$168.94at 0.170Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C or below on August 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 07:44 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 25? | SELL | 0.14 | $14.69 |
| 09-25 07:43 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 25? | SELL | 0.1470409699 | $17.59 |
| 09-25 07:00 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 25? | SELL | 0.99 | $290.98 |
| 09-25 07:00 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.8891364997 | $261.33 |
| 09-25 06:02 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.25 | $8.97 |
| 09-25 02:30 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on September 25? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.30 |
| 09-25 00:53 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.1894080976 | $11.18 |
| 09-24 07:01 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.8734705977 | $54.51 |
| 09-24 06:56 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.43 | $8.85 |
| 09-24 06:08 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 24? | SELL | 0.1724817518 | $8.27 |
| 09-24 06:08 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 24? | SELL | 0.2904184498 | $12.21 |
| 09-24 05:52 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.3305121653 | $29.75 |
| 09-24 05:48 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 24? | SELL | 0.2070771408 | $2.93 |
| 09-24 05:40 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.19 | $6.45 |
| 09-24 05:36 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.4188201982 | $17.75 |