PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

fxckkrdog

0xb4cecbca7b4a1b2b08f7284027c914f00fae49e0

Realised P&L
$1.5k
Volume
$265.7k
Markets traded
969
Open portfolio
$0.74

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded969
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 25? · Yes0.1680.004$0.74−$35.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-25 07:44Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 25?SELL0.14$14.69
09-25 07:43Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 25?SELL0.1470409699$17.59
09-25 07:00Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 25?SELL0.99$290.98
09-25 07:00Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 25?BUY0.8891364997$261.33
09-25 06:02Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 25?BUY0.25$8.97
09-25 02:30Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on September 25?SELL0.005$0.30
09-25 00:53Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on September 25?BUY0.1894080976$11.18
09-24 07:01Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on September 24?BUY0.8734705977$54.51
09-24 06:56Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on September 24?BUY0.43$8.85
09-24 06:08Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 24?SELL0.1724817518$8.27
09-24 06:08Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 24?SELL0.2904184498$12.21
09-24 05:52Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 24?BUY0.3305121653$29.75
09-24 05:48Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 24?SELL0.2070771408$2.93
09-24 05:40Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 24?BUY0.19$6.45
09-24 05:36Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 24?BUY0.4188201982$17.75