0xB4ceb57432B154B332998380926eB8D9e6A74aff-1776032284795
0xb4ceb57432b154b332998380926eb8d9e6a74aff
- Realised P&L
- $-31.77
- Volume
- $3.8k
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $35.60
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration34.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Giorgia Meloni be the next Prime Minister of Italy? · Yes | 0.606 | 0.510 | $35.60 | −$6.70 |
| Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? · Yes | 0.247 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$49.40 |
| Lakers vs. Rockets · Rockets | 0.399 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.50 |
| Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.80 |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox · Boston Red Sox | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$47.81at 0.388Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padres
- +$38.16at 0.414Will Pierceson Coody finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 RBC Heritage?
- +$34.79at 0.531Will Akshay Bhatia finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 RBC Heritage?
- +$13.35at 0.180Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
- +$4.39at 0.820Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-07 23:20 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox | BUY | 0.5199999938 | $20.00 |
| 05-07 23:10 | Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | SELL | 0.32 | $32.00 |
| 04-25 01:17 | Lakers vs. Rockets | BUY | 0.2599998648 | $0.96 |
| 04-24 18:46 | US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.03 |
| 04-23 15:22 | Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50? | BUY | 0.819999982 | $20.00 |
| 04-23 15:21 | Will Cirie Fields win Survivor Season 50? | SELL | 0.081 | $3.65 |
| 04-22 13:59 | Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | BUY | 0.247 | $10.37 |
| 04-22 13:58 | Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | BUY | 0.18 | $18.00 |
| 04-22 13:58 | Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | BUY | 0.09 | $10.80 |
| 04-22 13:55 | Will Giorgia Meloni be the next Prime Minister of Italy? | BUY | 0.58 | $6.73 |
| 04-18 01:35 | Will Ben Griffin finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 RBC Heritage? | BUY | 0.54 | $5.25 |
| 04-18 01:32 | Will Pierceson Coody finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 RBC Heritage? | BUY | 0.2884615235 | $9.57 |
| 04-18 01:32 | Will Akshay Bhatia finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 RBC Heritage? | BUY | 0.5098039121 | $19.41 |
| 04-16 21:44 | Will Ozzy Lusth win Survivor Season 50? | SELL | 0.0073834931 | $10.13 |
| 04-16 14:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET | BUY | 0.179999987 | $8.82 |