PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xB4ceb57432B154B332998380926eB8D9e6A74aff-1776032284795

0xb4ceb57432b154b332998380926eb8d9e6a74aff

Realised P&L
$-31.77
Volume
$3.8k
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$35.60

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration34.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample10 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Giorgia Meloni be the next Prime Minister of Italy? · Yes0.6060.510$35.60$6.70
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? · Yes0.2470.000$0.00$49.40
Lakers vs. Rockets · Rockets0.3990.000$0.00$1.50
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$10.80
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox · Boston Red Sox0.5200.000$0.00$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-07 23:20Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red SoxBUY0.5199999938$20.00
05-07 23:10Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?SELL0.32$32.00
04-25 01:17Lakers vs. RocketsBUY0.2599998648$0.96
04-24 18:46US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?SELL0.001$0.03
04-23 15:22Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?BUY0.819999982$20.00
04-23 15:21Will Cirie Fields win Survivor Season 50?SELL0.081$3.65
04-22 13:59Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?BUY0.247$10.37
04-22 13:58Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?BUY0.18$18.00
04-22 13:58Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?BUY0.09$10.80
04-22 13:55Will Giorgia Meloni be the next Prime Minister of Italy?BUY0.58$6.73
04-18 01:35Will Ben Griffin finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 RBC Heritage?BUY0.54$5.25
04-18 01:32Will Pierceson Coody finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 RBC Heritage?BUY0.2884615235$9.57
04-18 01:32Will Akshay Bhatia finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 RBC Heritage?BUY0.5098039121$19.41
04-16 21:44Will Ozzy Lusth win Survivor Season 50?SELL0.0073834931$10.13
04-16 14:32Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ETBUY0.179999987$8.82