ToyTrojan
0xb4c6c0238491389f999179d5a31f4e8e31b775ad
- Realised P&L
- $2.0k
- Volume
- $296.4k
- Markets traded
- 546
- Open portfolio
- $601.41
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded546
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration95.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panthers vs. Hurricanes · Panthers | 0.530 | 0.715 | $572.00 | +$148.00 |
| Canucks vs. Flames · Flames | 0.540 | 0.665 | $20.15 | +$3.79 |
| Devils vs. Rangers · Rangers | 0.470 | 0.470 | $9.26 | +$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$948.70at 0.256Penguins vs. Islanders
- +$722.01at 0.375Canadiens vs. Senators
- +$588.74at 0.455Hurricanes vs. Utah
- +$583.00at 0.470Ducks vs. Jets
- +$499.09at 0.246Islanders vs. Blues
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 20:47 | Devils vs. Rangers | BUY | 0.47 | $9.26 |
| 09-22 16:26 | Canucks vs. Flames | BUY | 0.54 | $16.36 |
| 09-21 23:04 | Panthers vs. Hurricanes | BUY | 0.53 | $127.95 |
| 06-15 02:40 | Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | SELL | 0.0393867591 | $11.82 |
| 05-19 00:02 | Will Nick Suzuki win the 2025–2026 NHL Frank J. Selke Trophy? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.19 |
| 05-19 00:02 | Will Anthony Cirelli win the 2025–2026 NHL Frank J. Selke Trophy? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.05 |
| 05-03 01:53 | NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Hurricanes vs. Flyers | BUY | 0.85 | $425.00 |
| 05-01 04:02 | NHL: Stanley Cup Winner USA or Canada? | BUY | 0.9 | $7.51 |
| 04-24 17:20 | Will Carolina Hurricanes advance to Round 2 of the 2026 NHL Playoffs? | BUY | 0.95 | $56.68 |
| 04-22 02:21 | Will Utah Mammoth advance to Round 2 of the 2026 NHL Playoffs? | BUY | 0.75 | $7.39 |
| 04-21 02:00 | Senators vs. Hurricanes: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.989375 | $79.10 |
| 04-17 03:51 | Kraken vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5 | BUY | 0.9428847425 | $10.00 |
| 04-17 03:24 | Kings vs. Flames | SELL | 0.1527065797 | $112.84 |
| 04-17 02:58 | Kings vs. Flames: O/U 6.5 | BUY | 0.9215686173 | $7.09 |
| 04-17 01:21 | Sharks vs. Jets | SELL | 0.22 | $18.02 |