PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Youalreadyknow

0xb4c66c5a3c5b97ef958e9f049eda91e71fa09317

Realised P&L
$-121.75
Volume
$12.3k
Markets traded
28
Open portfolio
$3.31

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded28
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration64.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample16 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration81.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-09 11:03Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on October 9?BUY0.7183716425$3.00
10-09 11:01Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 9?BUY0.1672085408$4.00
10-09 10:59Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on October 9?BUY0.0304732883$5.00
10-09 10:57Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on October 9?BUY0.3099999954$4.00
10-09 10:53Will it rain in New Orleans, LA on October 8?SELL0.001$0.04
10-08 18:41Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 92-93°F on October 8?BUY0.001$1.00
10-08 18:41Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 90-91°F on October 8?BUY0.005$1.00
10-08 18:36Will it rain in New Orleans, LA on October 8?BUY0.1156069364$5.00
07-21 13:48Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 21?SELL0.004$0.28
07-21 10:44Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on July 21?BUY0.3299999559$2.92
07-21 10:11Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 21?BUY0.0992267921$7.00
07-21 10:00Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.048999954$1.00
06-04 09:53Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 4?BUY0.1399999426$2.00
06-04 09:53Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 4?SELL0.55$2.75
06-04 09:30Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 4?BUY0.1783762058$22.19