Youalreadyknow
0xb4c66c5a3c5b97ef958e9f049eda91e71fa09317
- Realised P&L
- $-121.75
- Volume
- $12.3k
- Markets traded
- 28
- Open portfolio
- $3.31
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded28
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration64.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration81.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.29at 0.218Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 3?
- +$5.28at 0.657ITF Wuning: Chenting Zhu vs Reina Goto
- +$2.11at 0.146Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 4?
- +$0.63at 0.412Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 4?
- +$-0.17at 0.037Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 11:03 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on October 9? | BUY | 0.7183716425 | $3.00 |
| 10-09 11:01 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.1672085408 | $4.00 |
| 10-09 10:59 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.0304732883 | $5.00 |
| 10-09 10:57 | Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.3099999954 | $4.00 |
| 10-09 10:53 | Will it rain in New Orleans, LA on October 8? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.04 |
| 10-08 18:41 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 92-93°F on October 8? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 18:41 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 90-91°F on October 8? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 18:36 | Will it rain in New Orleans, LA on October 8? | BUY | 0.1156069364 | $5.00 |
| 07-21 13:48 | Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 21? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.28 |
| 07-21 10:44 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on July 21? | BUY | 0.3299999559 | $2.92 |
| 07-21 10:11 | Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 21? | BUY | 0.0992267921 | $7.00 |
| 07-21 10:00 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.048999954 | $1.00 |
| 06-04 09:53 | Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 4? | BUY | 0.1399999426 | $2.00 |
| 06-04 09:53 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 4? | SELL | 0.55 | $2.75 |
| 06-04 09:30 | Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 4? | BUY | 0.1783762058 | $22.19 |