0xb4bef9eb1d2c91414472740fc2fec34eccb4d391
0xb4bef9eb1d2c91414472740fc2fec34eccb4d391
- Realised P&L
- $5.12
- Volume
- $281.02
- Markets traded
- 67
- Open portfolio
- $5.63
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded67
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Holtec Nuclear's market cap be between $10B and $11B at market close on IPO day? · No | 0.700 | 0.947 | $2.71 | +$0.71 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? · No | 0.770 | 0.755 | $1.96 | −$0.04 |
| Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $192.50 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.490 | 0.235 | $0.96 | −$1.04 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.01at 0.229Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?
- +$6.63at 0.237Walmart (WMT) Q2 US comp sales (ex-fuel) growth 3%-4.5%?
- +$3.88at 0.340Will fewer than 180 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 3-August 9?
- +$3.35at 0.379Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $75 Week of August 3 2026?
- +$3.20at 0.392Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 07:23 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $2.00 |
| 09-22 23:18 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $192.50 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.4899999584 | $2.00 |
| 09-22 14:34 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 12:51 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $2.00 |
| 09-15 03:35 | Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18? | BUY | 0.7499999063 | $2.00 |
| 09-13 19:03 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $2.00 |
| 09-13 09:13 | Will Holtec Nuclear's market cap be between $10B and $11B at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.699999965 | $2.00 |
| 09-13 00:28 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $2.00 |
| 09-12 15:18 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899999289 | $2.00 |
| 09-12 13:47 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $2.00 |
| 09-12 03:26 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.7399999186 | $2.00 |
| 09-08 09:35 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.00 |
| 09-08 09:16 | Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August? | BUY | 0.6899999345 | $2.00 |
| 09-07 23:29 | Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $82.50 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.00 |
| 09-07 21:50 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $2.00 |