Vipercodex
0xb4bdbf81aff54eafb803af2cb1618100a6f32bda
- Realised P&L
- $-73.41
- Volume
- $3.6k
- Markets traded
- 128
- Open portfolio
- $107.09
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded128
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration43.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,200 (LOW) in December? · No | 0.606 | 0.640 | $58.11 | +$3.11 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,000 (LOW) in December? · No | 0.708 | 0.725 | $20.47 | +$0.47 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 in September? · No | 0.700 | 0.825 | $11.79 | +$1.79 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in September? · No | 0.440 | 0.435 | $9.89 | −$0.11 |
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $345 in September? · No | 0.450 | 0.615 | $6.83 | +$1.83 |
| Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $185 Week of August 31 2026? · No | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$39.66at 0.529Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $156 Week of May 4 2026?
- +$38.52at 0.552WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 6?
- +$36.81at 0.176Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in August?
- +$32.16at 0.454Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $150 Week of May 4 2026?
- +$24.61at 0.390Will NVIDIA reach $200 in February?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 18:04 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 Week of September 14 2026? | SELL | 0.713126294 | $10.33 |
| 09-16 17:54 | Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,200 (LOW) in December? | BUY | 0.6188588241 | $50.00 |
| 09-14 13:57 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $345 in September? | BUY | 0.449999964 | $5.00 |
| 09-14 08:57 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999821 | $10.00 |
| 09-13 10:49 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in September? | BUY | 0.4399999947 | $10.00 |
| 09-11 14:24 | Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,000 (LOW) in December? | BUY | 0.7099999815 | $10.00 |
| 09-11 13:38 | Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,000 (LOW) in December? | BUY | 0.706467649 | $10.00 |
| 09-11 13:35 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 in September? | BUY | 0.699999965 | $10.00 |
| 09-11 13:01 | Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,200 (LOW) in December? | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 09-02 18:42 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $185 Week of August 31 2026? | BUY | 0.5899999947 | $10.00 |
| 08-25 18:46 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in August? | SELL | 0.8076844611 | $47.51 |
| 08-25 17:36 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in August? | SELL | 0.935 | $1.05 |
| 08-25 09:37 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 in August? | SELL | 0.939 | $9.04 |
| 08-18 15:43 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $800 in August? | SELL | 0.935 | $1.09 |
| 08-13 16:02 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 in August? | BUY | 0.5189999699 | $5.00 |