PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ks83

0xb4b93b26b352cd335873b9607bc75ae7a6e6cde4

Realised P&L
$50.48
Volume
$2.6k
Markets traded
323
Open portfolio
$6.77

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded323
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration55.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-10? · Yes0.7400.745$3.79+$0.03
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-10? · Yes0.9300.925$2.98−$0.02
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 9AM ET · Down0.7600.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET · Up0.7300.000$0.00−$1.24
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes0.4400.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 12PM ET · Down0.8000.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.8200.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 4PM ET · Up0.6400.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 2PM ET · Down0.6000.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Ipswich Town FC end in a draw? · Yes0.8100.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11AM ET · Up0.5700.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET · Down0.6700.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 5PM ET · Up0.7800.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-04? · Yes0.7100.000$0.00−$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-27 17:26Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-10?BUY0.7399999606$3.76
09-27 17:26Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-10?BUY0.93$3.00
09-20 20:42Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-09-20?BUY0.9799999443$6.69
09-16 18:06Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-16?BUY0.92$6.16
09-13 17:32Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-09-14?BUY0.7899998657$1.00
09-12 15:52Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?BUY0.8199999836$2.00
09-12 15:51Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Ipswich Town FC end in a draw?BUY0.8099999352$2.00
09-07 12:42Will Adobe (ADBE) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.9689999889$2.00
09-07 12:40Will Macy's (M) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.9299999814$2.00
09-07 12:29Will Casey's General Stores (CASY) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.9299999814$2.00
09-06 00:10Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-06?BUY0.76$2.66
09-04 15:55Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-04?BUY0.6499999071$1.75
09-02 18:36Will lululemon athletica (LULU) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.9299996844$1.65
09-02 18:35Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-04?BUY0.71$2.00
09-02 18:35Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-06?BUY0.77$2.00