0xb4b83d9e7a8c5163152b6e3e30ad2e8d3203cc7f
0xb4b83d9e7a8c5163152b6e3e30ad2e8d3203cc7f
- Realised P&L
- $280.65
- Volume
- $8.0k
- Markets traded
- 103
- Open portfolio
- $115.34
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded103
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration82.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will CA Newell's Old Boys win on 2026-10-19? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.950 | $94.95 | +$34.95 |
| Will CA Sarmiento win on 2026-10-19? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.155 | $18.45 | −$31.55 |
| Will Deportes Copiapo win on 2026-10-19? · Yes | 0.319 | 0.012 | $1.88 | −$48.12 |
| Will Mushuc Runa SC win on 2026-10-18? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.001 | $0.06 | −$51.94 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$124.85at 0.407Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-10-19?
- +$124.52at 0.454Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-09-16?
- +$118.64at 0.312Will Santos FC win on 2026-10-18?
- +$106.99at 0.499Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-17?
- +$99.82at 0.301Will Fortaleza EC win on 2026-10-16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-19 21:39 | Will Mushuc Runa SC win on 2026-10-18? | BUY | 0.439999997 | $52.00 |
| 10-19 21:37 | Will CA Newell's Old Boys win on 2026-10-19? | BUY | 0.6 | $60.00 |
| 10-19 21:35 | Will CA Sarmiento win on 2026-10-19? | BUY | 0.4199999966 | $50.00 |
| 10-19 21:31 | Will Deportes Copiapo win on 2026-10-19? | BUY | 0.3189792663 | $50.00 |
| 10-19 19:30 | Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-10-19? | BUY | 0.7799999978 | $14.00 |
| 10-19 17:43 | Will Getafe CF win on 2026-10-19? | BUY | 0.32 | $70.00 |
| 10-19 16:15 | Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-10-19? | BUY | 0.3799999996 | $80.00 |
| 10-19 16:10 | Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-10-19? | BUY | 0.32 | $100.00 |
| 10-18 17:09 | Will CD Tolima win on 2026-10-18? | BUY | 0.3887482298 | $50.00 |
| 10-18 17:06 | Will Club Universitario de Deportes win on 2026-10-18? | BUY | 0.4006253634 | $50.00 |
| 10-18 17:06 | Will Criciúma EC win on 2026-10-18? | BUY | 0.4299999991 | $50.00 |
| 10-18 17:04 | Will Santos FC win on 2026-10-18? | BUY | 0.2899999985 | $50.00 |
| 10-18 08:35 | Will Kasımpaşa SK win on 2026-10-18? | BUY | 0.4199999966 | $30.00 |
| 10-18 08:33 | Will Rosenborg BK win on 2026-10-18? | BUY | 0.3499999997 | $50.00 |
| 10-18 08:32 | Will Silkeborg IF win on 2026-10-18? | BUY | 0.3680954722 | $50.00 |