PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xb4b55b1F03e8268EBf8b00DE6099F066F08dB552-1782205839549

0xb4b55b1f03e8268ebf8b00de6099f066f08db552

Realised P&L
$-32.82
Volume
$2.4k
Markets traded
144
Open portfolio
$21.04

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded144
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration6.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample42 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)95.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration47.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 21? · Yes0.2501.000$9.99+$7.50
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 22? · Yes0.4700.535$5.34+$0.65
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 22? · Yes0.3800.410$4.10+$0.30
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 22? · Yes0.3400.320$1.60$0.10
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 21? · Yes0.4600.001$0.01$2.40
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 9? · Yes0.0860.000$0.00$2.15
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 8? · Yes0.3500.000$0.00$7.00
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 19? · Yes0.3800.000$0.00$3.80
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on August 10? · Yes0.0000.000$0.00+$0.00
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 27? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00$1.20
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 4? · Yes0.2900.000$0.00$2.90
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 4? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$1.32
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 6? · Yes0.4300.000$0.00$8.60
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 17? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00$2.60
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on September 7? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00$1.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-21 06:44Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 22?BUY0.34$1.70
09-21 06:43Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 22?BUY0.38$3.80
09-21 05:46Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 22?BUY0.47$4.70
09-21 01:38Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 21?BUY0.46$2.30
09-21 01:36Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 21?BUY0.46$0.11
09-21 01:36Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 21?BUY0.25$2.50
09-19 01:28Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 19?BUY0.39$1.95
09-19 00:52Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 19?BUY0.37$1.85
09-08 16:59Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 9?BUY0.44$2.20
09-08 16:06Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 9?BUY0.38$3.80
09-08 16:02Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 9?BUY0.38$3.80
09-08 16:01Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 9?BUY0.11$0.62
09-07 18:13Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 8?BUY0.04$0.40
09-07 16:22Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 8?BUY0.43$2.15
09-07 16:21Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 8?BUY0.31$3.10