0xb4b55b1F03e8268EBf8b00DE6099F066F08dB552-1782205839549
0xb4b55b1f03e8268ebf8b00de6099f066f08db552
- Realised P&L
- $9.58
- Volume
- $426.11
- Markets traded
- 28
- Open portfolio
- $62.23
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded28
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.43at 0.296Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 3?
- +$6.54at 0.234Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 2?
- +$4.67at 0.300Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 3?
- +$1.45at 0.580Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 2?
- +$1.40at 0.370Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 16:53 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.24 | $2.40 |
| 08-05 11:52 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.33 | $3.30 |
| 08-05 06:55 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.43 | $8.60 |
| 08-05 06:54 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.28 | $2.80 |
| 08-05 06:47 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 18:56 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.37 | $3.70 |
| 08-04 18:56 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.09 | $1.35 |
| 08-04 15:34 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.35 | $1.75 |
| 08-04 15:33 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.25 |
| 08-04 15:17 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.47 | $2.35 |
| 08-04 15:05 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.36 | $3.24 |
| 08-04 15:04 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.16 | $2.40 |
| 08-04 04:11 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.22 | $2.20 |
| 08-04 04:10 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.24 | $2.40 |
| 08-04 04:08 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.36 | $3.60 |