0xb4b55b1F03e8268EBf8b00DE6099F066F08dB552-1782205839549
0xb4b55b1f03e8268ebf8b00de6099f066f08db552
- Realised P&L
- $-32.82
- Volume
- $2.4k
- Markets traded
- 144
- Open portfolio
- $21.04
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded144
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample42 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)95.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.24at 0.337Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 5?
- +$17.22at 0.426Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 12?
- +$16.24at 0.304Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 3?
- +$14.96at 0.250Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on August 9?
- +$14.23at 0.287Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 06:44 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.34 | $1.70 |
| 09-21 06:43 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.38 | $3.80 |
| 09-21 05:46 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.47 | $4.70 |
| 09-21 01:38 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.46 | $2.30 |
| 09-21 01:36 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.46 | $0.11 |
| 09-21 01:36 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.50 |
| 09-19 01:28 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.39 | $1.95 |
| 09-19 00:52 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.37 | $1.85 |
| 09-08 16:59 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 9? | BUY | 0.44 | $2.20 |
| 09-08 16:06 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 9? | BUY | 0.38 | $3.80 |
| 09-08 16:02 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 9? | BUY | 0.38 | $3.80 |
| 09-08 16:01 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 9? | BUY | 0.11 | $0.62 |
| 09-07 18:13 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 8? | BUY | 0.04 | $0.40 |
| 09-07 16:22 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 8? | BUY | 0.43 | $2.15 |
| 09-07 16:21 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 8? | BUY | 0.31 | $3.10 |