karinakak45
0xb4b328701372c76beeadb482d0cee7aec4878e12
- Realised P&L
- $-1.8k
- Volume
- $12.9k
- Markets traded
- 45
- Open portfolio
- $102.17
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-13.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded45
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample39 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No | 0.940 | 0.935 | $49.55 | −$0.27 |
| Will Alberta join the US? · No | 0.978 | 0.979 | $28.89 | +$0.01 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MD-04 House seat? · Yes | 0.974 | 0.974 | $13.64 | +$0.00 |
| Will Exponent launch a token by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.947 | 0.958 | $6.78 | +$0.08 |
| Will Solana reach $300 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.950 | 0.962 | $2.31 | +$0.03 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CA-16 House seat? · Yes | 0.950 | 0.966 | $0.99 | +$0.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$597.00at 0.500Rangers vs. Blue Jays
- +$550.00at 0.500Solana Up or Down on May 17?
- +$425.88at 0.580Pirates vs. Orioles
- +$97.94at 0.410Royals vs. Blue Jays
- +$2.15at 0.950US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 28, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12-06 10:22 | Will Eyüpspor win on 2025-12-06? | BUY | 0.48 | $451.20 |
| 09-09 08:31 | Pirates vs. Orioles | BUY | 0.58 | $588.12 |
| 09-02 11:24 | Mariners vs. Rays | BUY | 0.51 | $601.80 |
| 08-22 07:26 | Nationals vs. Phillies | BUY | 0.61 | $592.31 |
| 08-19 10:30 | Yankees vs. Rays | BUY | 0.43 | $460.96 |
| 08-12 07:12 | Braves vs. Mets | BUY | 0.44 | $443.96 |
| 05-16 11:03 | Solana Up or Down on May 17? | BUY | 0.5 | $550.00 |