EIon2028
0xb4b1008445d34ae66855df391b5bed2763607770
- Realised P&L
- $-2.2k
- Volume
- $133.0k
- Markets traded
- 115
- Open portfolio
- $620.77
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded115
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration43.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.027 | 0.006 | $620.77 | −$2.0k |
| Roland Garros WTA: Laura Siegemund vs Naomi Osaka · Laura Siegemund | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles · Tampa Bay Rays | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$470.11at 0.299Pavel Durov released in August?
- +$61.11at 0.450Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs
- +$28.46at 0.260Roland Garros WTA: Liudmila Samsonova vs Jil Teichmann
- +$19.09at 0.820Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?
- +$15.85at 0.790Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-26 13:16 | UFC Fight Night: Kai Asakura vs. Cameron Smotherman (Bantamweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.7199999965 | $25.00 |
| 05-26 13:14 | UFC Fight Night: Jake Matthews vs. Carlston Harris (Welterweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.7699999969 | $25.00 |
| 05-25 17:36 | Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | SELL | 0.25 | $14.42 |
| 05-25 17:30 | Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | BUY | 0.2599999903 | $15.00 |
| 05-25 17:28 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles | BUY | 0.5199999979 | $30.00 |
| 05-24 14:51 | Roland Garros WTA: Laura Siegemund vs Naomi Osaka | BUY | 0.2599999839 | $10.00 |
| 05-24 14:41 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-24? | BUY | 0.5399999997 | $35.00 |
| 05-24 06:48 | Roland Garros WTA: Liudmila Samsonova vs Jil Teichmann | BUY | 0.2599999839 | $10.00 |
| 05-24 06:47 | Roland Garros WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Dayana Yastremska | BUY | 0.4 | $10.00 |
| 05-24 06:46 | Roland Garros WTA: Laura Siegemund vs Naomi Osaka | BUY | 0.2594706798 | $10.00 |
| 05-24 06:44 | Valorant: Global Esports vs Nongshim RedForce (BO5) - Esports World Cup Pacific Qualifier Stage 2 | BUY | 0.5899999953 | $50.00 |
| 05-23 17:15 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-23? | BUY | 0.7 | $35.00 |
| 05-23 05:38 | Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs | BUY | 0.4499999955 | $50.00 |
| 03-24 20:31 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.008 | $19.47 |
| 03-04 10:52 | Next Thai Prime Minister Chosen by March 31? | SELL | 0.2610176651 | $13.59 |