PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

hglportfolio2

0xb4ad15d9590ee4ebf7780ef76b13d290671ad0f3

Realised P&L
$-687.86
Volume
$78.8k
Markets traded
26
Open portfolio
$1.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded26
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration43.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample17 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in November? · No0.8400.825$297.82−$5.41
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in November? · No0.7790.735$286.39−$17.03
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in November? · No0.9160.915$247.05−$0.35
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in November? · No0.8500.865$215.38+$3.74
Will Ethereum reach $3,100 in November? · No0.9490.950$199.60+$0.11
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in November? · No0.9300.915$198.56−$3.25
Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in November? · No0.8700.855$198.36−$3.48
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in November? · No0.8300.790$189.60−$9.60
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in October? · No0.8300.000$0.00−$197.59
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00−$267.62
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00−$35.51

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 19:50Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in November?BUY0.92$156.40
11-02 19:35Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in November?BUY0.91$45.50
11-02 19:20Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in November?BUY0.91$45.50
11-02 18:35Will Ethereum reach $3,100 in November?BUY0.9489999999$199.50
11-02 13:25Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in November?BUY0.85$211.65
11-02 13:15Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in November?BUY0.84$303.24
11-02 13:00Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in November?BUY0.7787167669$303.42
11-02 09:45Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in November?BUY0.87$201.84
11-02 09:30Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in November?BUY0.93$201.81
10-31 07:11Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October?SELL0.985$218.67
10-30 10:00Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?SELL0.0046789758$26.31
10-30 10:00Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?SELL0.0010226031$2.26
10-30 09:45Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?SELL0.007$0.39
10-30 09:30Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?SELL0.008$2.80
10-30 09:15Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?SELL0.009$2.56