0xb4849341371E906e7549Deff18aaeE2dEDAc18EB-1773977885730
0xb4849341371e906e7549deff18aaee2dedac18eb
- Realised P&L
- $-65.15
- Volume
- $717.25
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $338.56
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-9.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- ClearOpen concentration49.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will National Party be part of the next Government of New Zealand? · No | 0.652 | 0.505 | $166.48 | −$48.52 |
| Will Labour Party be part of the next Government of New Zealand? · Yes | 0.857 | 0.675 | $157.55 | −$42.45 |
| Will Green Party be part of the next Government of New Zealand? · Yes | 0.573 | 0.755 | $13.17 | +$3.17 |
| Will ACT New Zealand be part of the next Government of New Zealand? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.670 | $1.37 | +$0.37 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? · Yes | 0.324 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$43.67 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 22:17 | Will Green Party be part of the next Government of New Zealand? | BUY | 0.449999955 | $5.00 |
| 05-14 08:28 | Will National Party be part of the next Government of New Zealand? | BUY | 0.5658324248 | $100.00 |
| 05-06 06:40 | Will Green Party be part of the next Government of New Zealand? | BUY | 0.7899999826 | $5.00 |
| 05-06 06:40 | Will Labour Party be part of the next Government of New Zealand? | BUY | 0.8568934901 | $200.00 |
| 05-03 06:09 | Will ACT New Zealand be part of the next Government of New Zealand? | BUY | 0.4899998285 | $1.00 |
| 05-03 06:09 | Will National Party be part of the next Government of New Zealand? | BUY | 0.7519230744 | $115.00 |
| 04-10 04:54 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | BUY | 0.2999999938 | $24.11 |
| 03-25 06:20 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | BUY | 0.3599999904 | $19.56 |