PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

kensi!!

0xb482a232a7a07afa88628af055b317e09975fbc7

Realised P&L
$444.49
Volume
$3.31M
Markets traded
643
Open portfolio
$259.02

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded643
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0230.040$71.08+$30.00
Over $40M committed to the Jumper public sale? · Yes0.4220.395$35.55−$2.45
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes0.2030.121$32.77−$22.23
Will Ritual launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.1270.184$29.01+$9.01
Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $100M one day after launch? · No0.1800.190$21.11+$1.11
Will Austria win on 2026-10-01? · Yes0.4400.435$14.83−$0.17
Over $50M committed to the Jumper public sale? · Yes0.0700.135$13.01+$6.26
Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01? · Yes0.4800.475$9.90−$0.10
Will Serbia win on 2026-10-01? · Yes0.0600.055$9.17−$0.83
Will Norway win on 2026-10-01? · Yes0.7000.695$4.96−$0.04
Will Kosovo win on 2026-10-01? · Yes0.4100.405$4.94−$0.06
Will Greece vs. Netherlands end in a draw? · Yes0.2700.265$4.91−$0.09
Will Azerbaijan vs. Liechtenstein end in a draw? · Yes0.0900.085$4.72−$0.28
Ethos FDV above $35M one day after launch? · No0.1800.055$3.06−$6.94
Will Manchester City vs. Napoli end in a draw? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00−$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 15:37Will Norway win on 2026-10-01?BUY0.699999972$5.00
10-01 15:36Will Austria win on 2026-10-01?BUY0.4399999883$15.00
10-01 15:36Will Kosovo win on 2026-10-01?BUY0.4099999984$5.00
10-01 15:36Will Serbia win on 2026-10-01?BUY0.0599999999$10.00
10-01 15:35Will Greece vs. Netherlands end in a draw?BUY0.269999993$5.00
10-01 15:35Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?BUY0.4799999846$10.00
10-01 15:35Will Azerbaijan vs. Liechtenstein end in a draw?BUY0.0899999993$5.00
09-29 18:32Over $40M committed to the Jumper public sale?BUY0.5$10.00
09-29 17:56Over $40M committed to the Jumper public sale?BUY0.4$28.00
09-29 12:44Czechia vs. England: O/U 3.5BUY0.3699999867$10.00
09-29 12:43Spain vs. Croatia: Spain O/U 2.5BUY0.4899999824$10.00
09-29 12:41Will Iceland win on 2026-09-29?BUY0.4199999966$5.00
09-29 12:40Will Switzerland win on 2026-09-29?BUY0.5099999776$10.00
09-29 12:40Will Faroe Islands win on 2026-09-29?BUY0.3599999971$5.00
09-29 12:40Will Finland win on 2026-09-29?BUY0.629999995$5.00