0xe3f0a6715B94cf9d6Bf0FaBFF748Bac6bc1E57C8-1772743532042
0xb4804806169d2bec4debe16f88f2862b07b71d8d
- Realised P&L
- $180.63
- Volume
- $1.5k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $220.45
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar12.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration96.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration72.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.715 | $160.07 | +$10.07 |
| Will the Republican Party hold 190 or more House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.580 | $59.72 | −$10.28 |
| Will the Student List win 40-45% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.344 | 0.007 | $0.65 | −$29.35 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$196.46at 0.250Will Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability! win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
- +$6.24at 0.490Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
- +$-22.08at 0.591Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 09:49 | Will the Republican Party hold 190 or more House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.6798316585 | $70.00 |
| 10-28 09:48 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.6699999986 | $150.00 |
| 10-27 20:52 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.504053905 | $127.92 |
| 10-27 09:56 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.5910585048 | $150.00 |
| 10-26 15:38 | Will Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability! win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.9516533214 | $266.46 |
| 10-25 11:40 | Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.4899999984 | $6.00 |
| 10-25 11:35 | Will the Student List win 40-45% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.3445371691 | $30.00 |
| 10-25 11:35 | Will Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability! win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.25 | $70.00 |