elwen
0xb47b4b5fc0dd5acef713dff168e4516c830cc6b1
- Realised P&L
- $-8.7k
- Volume
- $495.5k
- Markets traded
- 1,384
- Open portfolio
- $321.39
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,384
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration17.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago White Sox vs. Houston Astros · Chicago White Sox | 0.470 | 0.565 | $113.99 | +$19.17 |
| Panthers vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5 · Under | 0.550 | 0.595 | $108.18 | +$8.18 |
| Blackhawks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5 · Under | 0.570 | 0.565 | $99.12 | −$0.88 |
| Scotland vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score · Yes | 0.480 | 0.001 | $0.10 | −$97.11 |
| Saint Tropez: Murphy Cassone vs Patrick Zahraj · Patrick Zahraj | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bruins vs. Flyers · Bruins | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 9.5 · Under | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Flames vs. Kraken · Flames | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Korea Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Anastasia Zakharova · Anastasia Zakharova | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Plovdiv 4: Izan Almazan Valiente vs George Lazarov · George Lazarov | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| South Sudan vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5 · Under | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Plovdiv 4: Pavel Lagutin vs Svyatoslav Gulin · Svyatoslav Gulin | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Saint Tropez: Maxime Janvier vs Daniel Masur · Maxime Janvier | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Utah vs. Golden Knights · Utah | 0.340 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Map Handicap: SPARTA (-1.5) vs Brute (+1.5) · SPARTA | 0.356 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$242.54 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$517.69at 0.266Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 11.5 Total Corners
- +$443.47at 0.460Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5
- +$328.00at 0.235Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 12.5 Total Corners
- +$262.87at 0.582RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Racing Club: O/U 2.5
- +$259.43at 0.337Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 20:54 | Chicago White Sox vs. Houston Astros | BUY | 0.4699999997 | $94.82 |
| 09-29 19:00 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 6.5 | SELL | 0.47 | $100.00 |
| 09-29 18:37 | Scotland vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.4799999984 | $97.21 |
| 09-29 17:57 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 6.5 | BUY | 0.4699999988 | $100.00 |
| 09-29 17:03 | Blackhawks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5 | BUY | 0.5699999983 | $100.00 |
| 09-29 17:02 | Panthers vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5 | BUY | 0.5499999995 | $100.00 |
| 09-29 16:44 | Will Ghana win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.501228501 | $100.00 |
| 09-29 16:38 | Will Russia win on 2026-09-29? | SELL | 0.27 | $63.28 |
| 09-29 15:35 | Will Russia win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.4266719569 | $100.00 |
| 09-29 15:18 | Spread: Egypt (-2.5) | SELL | 0.999 | $284.36 |
| 09-29 14:21 | South Sudan vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.2899999996 | $30.00 |
| 09-29 14:16 | Will Burundi win on 2026-09-29? | SELL | 0.5722666667 | $128.76 |
| 09-29 13:24 | Will Burundi win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.4444444444 | $100.00 |
| 09-29 12:52 | Spread: Egypt (-2.5) | BUY | 0.3513175381 | $100.00 |
| 09-25 13:53 | Exact Score: Any Other Score? | BUY | 0.2491254154 | $56.97 |