PolyBot

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Traders

Jumbajuz

0xb477b6a013980f8013cd5b488fd280c2c53f673e

Realised P&L
$-6.9k
Volume
$187.7k
Markets traded
1,003
Open portfolio
$711.60

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,003
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration7.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Democrats win the Michigan, Minnesota, and New Hampshire Senate seats? · Yes0.7280.755$140.00+$5.00
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Secretary of State election? · Yes0.8700.880$136.51+$1.51
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election? · No0.7400.685$92.57−$7.43
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? · No0.6400.615$86.92−$3.53
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.7100.725$71.48+$1.48
Will Hilton win the 2026 California gubernatorial election? · No0.9590.971$68.34+$0.84
Will Trump lower tariffs on Canada by October 31? · Yes0.9290.789$37.14−$6.56
Will Democrats win the Michigan and Ohio Senate seats? · Yes0.6090.750$33.24+$6.24
Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed? · No0.6900.545$22.45−$5.97
Will Democrats win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats? · Yes0.5600.675$21.80+$3.71
Will the Student List win 50% or more of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? · No0.8450.015$0.69−$38.37
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? · Yes0.6740.013$0.43−$21.97
Will voter turnout be 74% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · No0.6280.001$0.03−$37.50
Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · No0.7600.000$0.00−$18.00
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.6410.000$0.00−$15.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 18:07Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?SELL0.86$14.88
11-02 17:07Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?SELL0.61$42.46
11-02 07:29Will Democrats win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats?SELL0.6692879257$21.62
11-02 02:55Will Democrats win the Michigan, Minnesota, and New Hampshire Senate seats?BUY0.7309677484$99.00
11-02 02:52Will Democrats win the Michigan, Minnesota, and New Hampshire Senate seats?BUY0.72$36.00
11-02 01:27Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?SELL0.997$66.39
11-01 10:31Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election?BUY0.7399999988$100.00
11-01 06:35Will Iran target Iraq by October 31, 2026?SELL0.99$33.47
11-01 04:17Will Iran target Iraq by October 31, 2026?SELL0.8582282282$14.29
11-01 01:47Will Democrats win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats?SELL0.56$17.82
10-31 21:21Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?SELL0.7451025105$14.25
10-31 14:27Will Democrats win the Michigan and Ohio Senate seats?SELL0.71$31.47
10-31 12:37Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?BUY0.64$135.00
10-31 09:37Will there be no Hormuz agreement or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?SELL0.7324825754$68.94
10-31 08:052026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.7099999992$70.00