Jumbajuz
0xb477b6a013980f8013cd5b488fd280c2c53f673e
- Realised P&L
- $-3.1k
- Volume
- $104.6k
- Markets traded
- 679
- Open portfolio
- $3.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded679
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$40.02at 0.850Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $75 Week of July 27 2026?
- +$37.81at 0.700Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?
- +$35.27at 0.680Will Brad Lander win the NY-10 Democratic Primary by more than 30%?
- +$35.00at 0.300Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?
- +$30.23at 0.871Will Michael Olise score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 12:45 | Will Adrienn Laczó be the next President of Hungary? | BUY | 0.67 | $210.94 |
| 08-03 12:01 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $85 Week of August 3 2026? | SELL | 0.82 | $139.64 |
| 08-03 11:50 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $138 Week of August 3 2026? | SELL | 0.8489991644 | $132.08 |
| 08-03 09:12 | Will Keith Gross be the FL-02 Republican nominee? | BUY | 0.6 | $1.50 |
| 08-03 08:54 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 15? | SELL | 0.82 | $17.05 |
| 08-03 06:47 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $138 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.8099999993 | $210.00 |
| 08-03 06:41 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $85 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.7399999993 | $210.00 |
| 08-03 05:01 | Will Haley Stevens win Genesee County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? | SELL | 0.8327414786 | $91.13 |
| 08-03 02:37 | Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $62.50 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $202.50 |
| 08-03 02:37 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $164 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.8699999996 | $210.00 |
| 08-03 01:34 | Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $2.50 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.9699999999 | $202.50 |
| 08-03 00:19 | Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $5.00 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $210.00 |
| 08-02 23:50 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 4, 2026? | SELL | 0.84 | $25.20 |
| 08-02 18:23 | Will Keith Gross be the FL-02 Republican nominee? | BUY | 0.67 | $33.50 |
| 08-02 09:36 | Will Rick Brattin be the MO-05 Republican nominee? | SELL | 0.8309755146 | $85.18 |