PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Jumbajuz

0xb477b6a013980f8013cd5b488fd280c2c53f673e

Realised P&L
$-3.1k
Volume
$104.6k
Markets traded
679
Open portfolio
$3.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded679
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration6.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration7.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Donavan McKinney win the MI-13 Democratic primary by at least 16%? · No0.7200.835$235.50+$32.43
Will Adrienn Laczó be the next President of Hungary? · No0.6700.670$210.94+$0.00
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $2.50 Week of August 3 2026? · No0.9700.952$198.74$3.76
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $5.00 Week of August 3 2026? · No0.9500.895$197.84$12.16
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $62.50 Week of August 3 2026? · No0.9600.938$197.75$4.75
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? · No0.6200.405$195.97$104.03
Will Dalia Al-Aqidi be the MN-05 Republican nominee? · Yes0.7900.755$193.53$8.97
Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? · No0.8500.795$189.40$13.10
Will Keith Gross be the FL-02 Republican nominee? · Yes0.6690.620$187.55$14.95
Will Van Hilleary be the TN-06 Republican nominee? · No0.8000.720$182.25$20.25
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $164 Week of August 3 2026? · No0.8700.695$167.73$42.27
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? · Yes0.7240.582$162.75$39.75
Will Ty Masterson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election? · Yes0.8600.960$158.23+$16.48
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? · No0.6700.410$122.99$77.99
Will Anthropic reset Claude usage limit by August 15? · Yes0.7800.415$111.73$98.27

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 12:45Will Adrienn Laczó be the next President of Hungary?BUY0.67$210.94
08-03 12:01Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $85 Week of August 3 2026?SELL0.82$139.64
08-03 11:50Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $138 Week of August 3 2026?SELL0.8489991644$132.08
08-03 09:12Will Keith Gross be the FL-02 Republican nominee?BUY0.6$1.50
08-03 08:54Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 15?SELL0.82$17.05
08-03 06:47Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $138 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.8099999993$210.00
08-03 06:41Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $85 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.7399999993$210.00
08-03 05:01Will Haley Stevens win Genesee County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?SELL0.8327414786$91.13
08-03 02:37Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $62.50 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.96$202.50
08-03 02:37Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $164 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.8699999996$210.00
08-03 01:34Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $2.50 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.9699999999$202.50
08-03 00:19Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $5.00 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.95$210.00
08-02 23:50Will Iran target a Arab country on August 4, 2026?SELL0.84$25.20
08-02 18:23Will Keith Gross be the FL-02 Republican nominee?BUY0.67$33.50
08-02 09:36Will Rick Brattin be the MO-05 Republican nominee?SELL0.8309755146$85.18