Jumbajuz
0xb477b6a013980f8013cd5b488fd280c2c53f673e
- Realised P&L
- $-5.8k
- Volume
- $163.9k
- Markets traded
- 860
- Open portfolio
- $676.16
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded860
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$92.10at 0.679Will Donald Trump's tie be red?
- +$86.59at 0.699Will Jay Schroeder be the Wisconsin Secretary of State Republican nominee?
- +$74.43at 0.797Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 end of August?
- +$51.27at 0.738Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of August 17 above $172?
- +$47.07at 0.720Will Donavan McKinney win the MI-13 Democratic primary by at least 16%?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 23:40 | Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on September 22? | BUY | 0.7299999985 | $45.00 |
| 09-17 23:30 | Berlin State Election: More Votes to CDU or Grüne? | BUY | 0.9099999992 | $89.91 |
| 09-17 23:20 | Berlin State Election: More Votes to CDU or Grüne? | BUY | 0.9 | $45.09 |
| 09-17 19:55 | Will Russia target Kyiv on September 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.7399999977 | $45.00 |
| 09-17 19:35 | Will Google Gemini be #3 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18? | BUY | 0.8599999975 | $27.80 |
| 09-17 19:25 | Will Google Gemini be #3 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18? | BUY | 0.86 | $7.74 |
| 09-17 15:52 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $147 Week of September 14 2026? | SELL | 0.963 | $19.26 |
| 09-17 15:06 | Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of September 14 above $510? | SELL | 0.94 | $22.38 |
| 09-17 15:05 | Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of September 14 above $510? | SELL | 0.94 | $22.38 |
| 09-17 14:50 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $144 in September? | SELL | 0.94 | $22.17 |
| 09-17 14:26 | Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18? | BUY | 0.8099999978 | $45.00 |
| 09-17 13:32 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 Week of September 14 2026? | SELL | 0.96 | $33.60 |
| 09-16 19:09 | Will Micron (MU) finish week of September 14 above $950? | SELL | 0.76 | $22.85 |
| 09-16 17:33 | Will HotSchedules be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 18? | BUY | 0.9 | $45.00 |
| 09-16 15:00 | Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of September 14 above $165? | SELL | 0.8 | $25.89 |