Jumbajuz
0xb477b6a013980f8013cd5b488fd280c2c53f673e
- Realised P&L
- $-6.9k
- Volume
- $187.7k
- Markets traded
- 1,003
- Open portfolio
- $711.60
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,003
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration7.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$92.10at 0.679Will Donald Trump's tie be red?
- +$86.59at 0.699Will Jay Schroeder be the Wisconsin Secretary of State Republican nominee?
- +$74.43at 0.797Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 end of August?
- +$51.27at 0.738Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of August 17 above $172?
- +$47.07at 0.720Will Donavan McKinney win the MI-13 Democratic primary by at least 16%?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 18:07 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | SELL | 0.86 | $14.88 |
| 11-02 17:07 | Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.61 | $42.46 |
| 11-02 07:29 | Will Democrats win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats? | SELL | 0.6692879257 | $21.62 |
| 11-02 02:55 | Will Democrats win the Michigan, Minnesota, and New Hampshire Senate seats? | BUY | 0.7309677484 | $99.00 |
| 11-02 02:52 | Will Democrats win the Michigan, Minnesota, and New Hampshire Senate seats? | BUY | 0.72 | $36.00 |
| 11-02 01:27 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | SELL | 0.997 | $66.39 |
| 11-01 10:31 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election? | BUY | 0.7399999988 | $100.00 |
| 11-01 06:35 | Will Iran target Iraq by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.99 | $33.47 |
| 11-01 04:17 | Will Iran target Iraq by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.8582282282 | $14.29 |
| 11-01 01:47 | Will Democrats win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats? | SELL | 0.56 | $17.82 |
| 10-31 21:21 | Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate? | SELL | 0.7451025105 | $14.25 |
| 10-31 14:27 | Will Democrats win the Michigan and Ohio Senate seats? | SELL | 0.71 | $31.47 |
| 10-31 12:37 | Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $135.00 |
| 10-31 09:37 | Will there be no Hormuz agreement or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate? | SELL | 0.7324825754 | $68.94 |
| 10-31 08:05 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.7099999992 | $70.00 |