PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

vad1

0xb476d52d74d0ecd55fb80f9bc96e93a267ad6eac

Realised P&L
$-26.1k
Volume
$3.00M
Markets traded
2,208
Open portfolio
$560.75

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,208
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration18.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration45.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET · Down0.8310.805$257.64$8.36
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · Yes0.3200.145$135.94$164.06
Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET · Down0.9450.935$88.09$0.91
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? · Yes0.7990.255$63.70$136.30
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.1670.009$14.89$276.96
Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0560.001$0.50$55.49
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET · Down0.9300.000$0.00$200.00
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Belgium? · Yes0.1970.000$0.00$899.99
Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00$114.80
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2026-07-29? · No0.1800.000$0.00$100.00
Will FK Karpaty Lviv win on 2026-08-10? · No0.6710.000$0.00$132.72
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs. Nagoya Grampus: O/U 1.5 · Under0.4700.000$0.00$24.33
Grêmio FBPA vs. SC Internacional: O/U 3.5 · Under0.6840.000$0.00$24.57
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00$10.00
Vasteraas SK vs. Orgryte IS: 1st Half O/U 1.5 · Over0.6000.000$0.00$50.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 11:07Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 7:00AM-7:15AM ETBUY0.9446927371$89.00
09-18 11:06Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7:00AM-7:15AM ETBUY0.8311232287$266.00
09-18 08:21Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETBUY0.8962025316$177.00
09-18 07:07Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 3:00AM-3:15AM ETBUY0.9547776869$89.00
09-18 05:12Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 1:10AM-1:15AM ETBUY0.94$181.22
09-18 03:18Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 11:15PM-11:30PM ETBUY0.9$89.00
09-18 03:18Ethereum Up or Down - September 17, 11:15PM-11:30PM ETBUY0.9446916813$89.00
09-18 00:21Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 8:15PM-8:30PM ETBUY0.9503893206$89.00
09-18 00:13Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 8:10PM-8:15PM ETBUY0.93$200.00
09-17 21:57Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 5:55PM-6:00PM ETBUY0.8099999993$200.00
09-17 21:52Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 5:45PM-6:00PM ETBUY0.9299999998$89.00
09-17 18:42Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 2:40PM-2:45PM ETBUY0.91$200.00
09-17 13:51Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 9:45AM-10:00AM ETBUY0.94$89.00
09-17 13:42Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ETBUY0.8616689537$200.00
09-17 13:37Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ETBUY0.92$200.00