RiverStrategist
0xb4736b90b11615b57438db96e0771831d3bbce79
- Realised P&L
- $0.60
- Volume
- $4.9k
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $238.00
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration85.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)77.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.605 | 0.595 | $238.00 | −$4.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.36at 0.038Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
- +$0.05at 0.996Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on March 17?
- +$0.02at 0.998Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 1?
- +$0.01at 0.999Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 14?
- +$0.01at 0.999Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on March 19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-21 11:37 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 21? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.08 |
| 04-17 11:04 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 17? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.89 |
| 04-05 08:55 | Will Ethereum reach $2,400 March 30-April 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.38 |
| 04-03 09:56 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on April 3? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.99 |
| 04-02 07:34 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on April 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.27 |
| 04-01 07:40 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 1? | BUY | 0.998 | $11.13 |
| 03-31 10:22 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on March 31? | BUY | 0.9989999724 | $12.64 |
| 03-30 09:03 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 30? | BUY | 0.9989999238 | $11.14 |
| 03-26 06:49 | Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on March 26? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.26 |
| 03-25 08:51 | Will the price of Solana be above $80 on March 25? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.71 |
| 03-24 08:48 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 24? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.22 |
| 03-19 11:05 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on March 19? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.47 |
| 03-18 09:22 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 18? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.65 |
| 03-17 10:08 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on March 17? | BUY | 0.996 | $13.48 |
| 03-14 11:22 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 14? | BUY | 0.9989999867 | $14.79 |