abogomolova
0xb47278082ea3615eaf56cbabbfef2b99f41c9145
- Realised P&L
- $-176.62
- Volume
- $19.7k
- Markets traded
- 39
- Open portfolio
- $209.14
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded39
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample35 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hurupay FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No | 0.979 | 0.972 | $55.40 | −$0.40 |
| Will Treg Taylor win the 2026 Alaska governor election? · No | 0.968 | 0.971 | $53.37 | +$0.14 |
| Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.940 | 0.895 | $51.02 | −$2.56 |
| Will Trump deport 700-800k people? · No | 0.995 | 0.987 | $49.35 | −$0.40 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$915.00at 0.390Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?
- +$825.00at 0.500Guardians vs. Diamondbacks
- +$556.05at 0.450Panthers vs. Hurricanes
- +$527.16at 0.540Oilers vs. Stars
- +$319.76at 0.440Orioles vs. Red Sox
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-21 10:03 | Brewers vs. Cubs | BUY | 0.45 | $225.45 |
| 08-19 10:09 | Orioles vs. Red Sox | BUY | 0.44 | $251.24 |
| 05-26 10:54 | Ethereum Up or Down on May 27? | BUY | 0.5 | $419.00 |
| 05-23 10:09 | Oilers vs. Stars | BUY | 0.52 | $479.96 |
| 05-21 11:51 | Oilers vs. Stars | BUY | 0.54 | $618.84 |
| 05-19 11:02 | Timberwolves vs. Thunder | BUY | 0.72 | $717.12 |
| 04-30 12:46 | Canadiens vs. Capitals | BUY | 0.369999999 | $208.00 |
| 04-28 07:58 | Cardinals vs. Reds | BUY | 0.5399999992 | $291.00 |
| 04-25 11:44 | Sperm Race: Tristan (USC) vs Asher (UCLA) | BUY | 0.5099999988 | $182.00 |
| 04-24 13:49 | Texas Rangers vs. Athletics | BUY | 0.5699999988 | $175.00 |
| 04-23 13:25 | Canadiens vs. Capitals | BUY | 0.3799999993 | $176.00 |