ldjflsdjfldsjok5
0xb46e89ed7654d35e8bd03d0fe07ec5952b8323f7
- Realised P&L
- $-11.14
- Volume
- $2.0k
- Markets traded
- 55
- Open portfolio
- $120.22
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded55
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.19at 0.050Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 5?
- +$16.80at 0.080Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on October 5?
- +$16.00at 0.100Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.4%?
- +$8.80at 0.280Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.1%?
- +$6.50at 0.350Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 14:28 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 5? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.66 |
| 10-03 23:09 | Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 33M tonnes at end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.3 | $6.00 |
| 10-03 23:09 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | SELL | 0.35 | $1.75 |
| 10-03 21:06 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | SELL | 0.35 | $1.75 |
| 10-03 19:04 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.36 | $1.80 |
| 10-03 18:16 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.36 | $1.80 |
| 07-18 11:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET | BUY | 0.73 | $4.38 |
| 07-18 09:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET | BUY | 0.18 | $1.08 |
| 07-14 03:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET | BUY | 0.76 | $3.80 |
| 07-13 06:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET | BUY | 0.38 | $2.66 |
| 07-13 06:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET | BUY | 0.96 | $6.72 |
| 07-13 05:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET | BUY | 0.48 | $3.36 |
| 07-12 08:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET | BUY | 0.52 | $3.12 |