0xb46a9912b21380cea61a4658cc5c55549c521bc9
0xb46a9912b21380cea61a4658cc5c55549c521bc9
- Realised P&L
- $17.63
- Volume
- $2.6k
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $19.23
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-20? · Yes | 0.730 | 0.740 | $5.07 | +$0.07 |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-20? · Yes | 0.920 | 0.915 | $4.97 | −$0.03 |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.385 | $4.94 | −$0.06 |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? · Yes | 0.606 | 0.515 | $4.25 | −$0.75 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$48.17at 0.322Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?
- +$43.03at 0.333Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$25.66at 0.493England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$13.83at 0.625Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
- +$11.29at 0.322Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 05:32 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20? | BUY | 0.3899999945 | $5.00 |
| 10-15 05:31 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-20? | BUY | 0.92 | $5.00 |
| 10-15 05:31 | Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-20? | BUY | 0.7299999679 | $5.00 |
| 10-14 11:27 | Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.4399999754 | $5.00 |
| 10-14 11:27 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 10-14 11:27 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.299999994 | $5.00 |
| 10-14 11:25 | Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.3099999954 | $2.00 |
| 10-14 11:25 | Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.6055870003 | $5.00 |
| 10-13 21:00 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-13? | SELL | 0.999 | $14.27 |
| 10-13 20:59 | Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.60 |
| 10-13 19:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET | SELL | 0.97 | $6.06 |
| 10-13 19:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET | BUY | 0.8 | $5.00 |
| 10-13 19:45 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-13? | BUY | 0.699999993 | $10.00 |
| 10-13 19:45 | Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13? | BUY | 0.8899999858 | $5.00 |
| 08-07 00:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET | BUY | 0.9099999805 | $1.87 |