myneckhurt2
0xb46645fda5e60e9b41a7513e2535489da19d4953
- Realised P&L
- $-126.06
- Volume
- $38.1k
- Markets traded
- 34
- Open portfolio
- $20.95
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded34
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample29 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.002 | $10.73 | −$53.75 |
| Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.001 | $6.85 | −$13.69 |
| Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.002 | $3.37 | −$9.95 |
| Will Julian Alvarez join Chelsea? · Yes | 0.035 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$36.13 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$132.01at 0.024Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?
- +$108.16at 0.249Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?
- +$99.08at 0.568Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
- +$65.10at 0.776Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?
- +$35.79at 0.701Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-03 12:11 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.14 | $18.15 |
| 08-27 06:29 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.348 | $67.86 |
| 08-27 06:29 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.341 | $2.70 |
| 08-27 06:28 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.323 | $7.43 |
| 08-27 06:28 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.322 | $3.22 |
| 08-27 06:28 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.321 | $2.05 |
| 08-27 06:28 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.316 | $3.16 |
| 08-27 06:17 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.468 | $32.73 |
| 08-27 06:17 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.4702424242 | $31.04 |
| 08-27 06:17 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.471 | $40.51 |
| 08-27 06:16 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.4720007138 | $6.61 |
| 08-27 04:30 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.444 | $69.37 |
| 08-27 04:29 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.433 | $34.51 |
| 08-27 01:45 | Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.005 | $2.00 |
| 08-27 01:43 | Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.006 | $2.40 |