PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

recompoundforever

0xb4646c48f169b680ff7772b4f2295e0202551d9a

Realised P&L
$-2.08
Volume
$120.91
Markets traded
18
Open portfolio
$22.54

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded18
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration44.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)85.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-20 16:18Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 7°C on September 22?BUY0.349999934$1.59
09-20 16:15Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on September 22?BUY0.3299998944$1.00
09-20 16:12Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 22?BUY0.3699999593$1.00
09-20 16:12Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 22?BUY0.4199998908$1.00
09-20 16:10Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 22?BUY0.25$1.00
09-20 16:09Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 83°F or below on September 22?BUY0.05$1.00
09-20 16:04Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 20?SELL0.001$0.00
09-20 16:04Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 20?SELL0.994$2.54
09-20 16:04Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 20?SELL0.999$3.33
09-19 14:19Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 20?BUY0.3899999337$1.00
09-19 14:19Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 20?BUY0.3399999388$1.00
09-19 14:17Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 20?BUY0.2399999808$1.00
09-19 14:17Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 20?BUY0.469999906$1.00
09-19 14:01Another Fed rate hike in 2026?SELL0.83$5.12
09-19 13:59Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 20?BUY0.539999892$1.80