recompoundforever
0xb4646c48f169b680ff7772b4f2295e0202551d9a
- Realised P&L
- $-2.08
- Volume
- $120.91
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $22.54
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration44.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)85.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.51at 0.402Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 20?
- +$1.49at 0.552Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 20?
- +$0.30at 0.944Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET
- +$0.05at 0.968US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?
- +$0.05at 0.991Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 16:18 | Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 7°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.349999934 | $1.59 |
| 09-20 16:15 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 16:12 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 16:12 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 16:10 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 22? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 16:09 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 83°F or below on September 22? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 16:04 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.00 |
| 09-20 16:04 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.994 | $2.54 |
| 09-20 16:04 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.999 | $3.33 |
| 09-19 14:19 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 14:19 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 14:17 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 14:17 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 14:01 | Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | SELL | 0.83 | $5.12 |
| 09-19 13:59 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.539999892 | $1.80 |