Leifcvb
0xb45ac017859603c0f6734c93eb7cbaba7b9307cc
- Realised P&L
- $21.81
- Volume
- $13.4k
- Markets traded
- 49
- Open portfolio
- $80.26
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded49
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - LCK Play-In · KT Rolster | 0.780 | 1.000 | $35.00 | +$7.70 |
| Will Casa Pia AC win on 2026-08-08? · No | 0.720 | 1.000 | $28.60 | +$8.01 |
| Sevilla FC vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Score · Yes | 0.590 | 0.595 | $16.66 | +$0.14 |
| Will AZ win on 2026-04-16? · Yes | 0.511 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$31.66 |
| Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-08-16? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.33 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$438.35at 0.500Will Frankenstein win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$438.24at 0.500Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election?
- +$418.32at 0.500Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
- +$129.85at 0.500Will the Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl 2026?
- +$28.59at 0.500Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 11:35 | Sevilla FC vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.59 | $16.52 |
| 08-25 07:40 | LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - LCK Play-In | BUY | 0.78 | $27.30 |
| 08-12 12:15 | Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-08-16? | BUY | 0.43 | $13.33 |
| 08-08 09:25 | Will Casa Pia AC win on 2026-08-08? | BUY | 0.72 | $20.59 |
| 07-16 08:05 | UFC Fight Night: Kamaru Usman vs. Dricus Du Plessis (Middleweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.7 | $15.40 |
| 07-07 02:01 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.74 | $38.47 |
| 06-25 05:47 | Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.66 | $26.60 |
| 05-29 06:07 | Will Alejandro Tabilo win the 2026 Men's French Open? | SELL | 0.987 | $18.26 |
| 05-29 06:07 | Will Alejandro Tabilo win the 2026 Men's French Open? | SELL | 0.012 | $0.22 |
| 05-25 06:59 | LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs | BUY | 0.77 | $22.56 |
| 05-20 07:50 | Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-24? | BUY | 0.52 | $16.33 |
| 05-20 07:47 | Will El Masry SC win on 2026-05-20? | SELL | 0.83 | $25.98 |
| 05-20 07:43 | Will El Masry SC win on 2026-05-20? | BUY | 0.85 | $26.61 |
| 04-23 02:27 | Will Stefanos Tsitsipas win the 2026 Men's French Open? | SELL | 0.997 | $14.96 |
| 04-23 02:27 | Will Stefanos Tsitsipas win the 2026 Men's French Open? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |