PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xPSFMEK

0xb4572213d6eca035f4d7a66eeb7262bb0f039944

Realised P&L
$-58.90
Volume
$28.0k
Markets traded
5,535
Open portfolio
$2.88

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded5,535
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration2.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration13.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Movimento Democrático Brasileiro (MDB) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election? · Yes0.0100.039$0.39+$0.29
Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · Yes0.0100.299$0.31+$0.30
Will Alex Lawson win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election? · Yes0.0100.054$0.27+$0.22
Will Alexandru Rogobete be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · Yes0.0100.051$0.26+$0.21
Will Carson Benge win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? · Yes0.0100.018$0.18+$0.09
Will Pierre Gasly win the 2026 Action of the Year? · Yes0.0100.032$0.16+$0.11
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in China before 2027? · Yes0.0100.011$0.11+$0.01
Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + USR? · Yes0.0100.021$0.11+$0.06
Will the next governing coalition of Romania include UDMR + AUR? · Yes0.0100.021$0.10+$0.05
Will Samuel Wyatt be the Republican nominee for LA-05? · Yes0.0100.012$0.06+$0.01
Will the next governing coalition of Romania include USR? · Yes0.0100.011$0.06+$0.01
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0100.005$0.06−$0.04
Will Donald Trump be confirmed to be the sender of the “I beat Bush” email to Epstein in 2026? · Yes0.0100.011$0.05+$0.00
Will the next governing coalition of Romania include USR + UDMR + AUR? · Yes0.0100.010$0.05+$0.00
Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to at least 5 years in prison? · Yes0.0100.009$0.05−$0.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-05 20:51Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?BUY0.8199999836$1.00
07-05 20:50Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?SELL0.072$0.36
05-31 17:17Will Multiple Candidates be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?SELL0.018$0.09
05-23 20:40Will the People Power Party win 0 seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?SELL0.03$0.15
05-23 20:40Will there be between 100m and 105m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections?SELL0.0153953488$0.13
05-23 20:39Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 63°F or below on May 23?SELL0.13$0.65
05-23 20:39Will Cristopher Sánchez lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?SELL0.052$0.26
05-20 16:20Will there be at least 1925 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?SELL0.032$0.16
05-20 16:20Will Alexander Albon win the 2026 Action of the Year?SELL0.032$0.16
05-19 17:18Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in May 2026?SELL0.108$0.54
05-17 19:11Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on May 17?SELL0.061$0.30
05-17 14:59Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 23 and May 29?SELL0.284$1.42
05-16 22:28Sam Altman in jail by June 30?SELL0.028$0.14
05-16 22:28Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 17?SELL0.047$0.23
05-14 05:46Will Wuthering Heights get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?SELL0.019$0.10