bernarmadov
0xb4545b686967d17b93467c4a76dfa616292c9b90
- Realised P&L
- $611.09
- Volume
- $346.4k
- Markets traded
- 64
- Open portfolio
- $1.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded64
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.949US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
- +$1.1kat 0.636Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?
- +$825.39at 0.298Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
- +$646.87at 0.831US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$646.60at 0.677Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 22:29 | Will "Digger" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 9m? | BUY | 0.9 | $50.00 |
| 10-02 22:00 | Will "Digger" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 9m? | BUY | 0.8285450747 | $50.00 |
| 10-02 18:29 | Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 28m? | BUY | 0.0388934676 | $50.00 |
| 10-02 14:52 | Will "Digger" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 9m? | BUY | 0.8 | $50.00 |
| 10-02 01:20 | LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs | BUY | 0.6643529975 | $100.00 |
| 10-01 20:01 | Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 28m? | BUY | 0.8 | $50.00 |
| 10-01 18:49 | Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 19m? | BUY | 0.7092785179 | $50.00 |
| 10-01 07:27 | Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 19m? | BUY | 0.7498884166 | $50.00 |
| 10-01 05:39 | Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 19m? | BUY | 0.7359999988 | $50.00 |
| 10-01 05:36 | Will "Digger" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 17m? | BUY | 0.9399999996 | $50.00 |
| 09-30 23:40 | LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs | BUY | 0.6599999979 | $100.00 |
| 09-30 22:07 | LoL: HANJIN BRION vs JD Gaming (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage | BUY | 0.4299999991 | $100.00 |
| 09-30 20:09 | Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 28m? | BUY | 0.77187065 | $50.00 |
| 09-30 20:08 | Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 28m? | BUY | 0.759999997 | $50.00 |
| 09-30 20:06 | Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 19m? | BUY | 0.8199999984 | $50.00 |