PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

6436

0xb44d2742ed255d1ff63bd689107146f738b62e7d

Realised P&L
$185.85
Volume
$17.8k
Markets traded
70
Open portfolio
$1.0k

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded70
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in November? · No0.9600.945$471.61−$7.49
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in November? · No0.9400.925$278.67−$4.52
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in November? · No0.8900.875$176.36−$3.02
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in November? · No0.8200.805$81.52−$1.52
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026? · Yes0.1670.000$0.00−$16.70
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00−$14.00
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in August? · No0.8900.000$0.00−$89.00
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00−$23.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June? · No0.9100.000$0.00−$91.00
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? · Yes0.3010.000$0.00−$60.20
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? · Yes0.1530.000$0.00−$15.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 09:59Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in November?BUY0.96$479.10
11-01 09:59Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in November?BUY0.94$283.18
11-01 09:58Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in November?BUY0.89$179.38
11-01 09:58Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in November?BUY0.82$83.04
10-12 06:16Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?BUY0.986$103.63
10-12 06:15Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October?BUY0.979$88.24
10-12 06:15Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October?BUY0.979$102.94
10-09 07:35Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?BUY0.978$97.04
10-09 07:34Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?BUY0.91$22.84
10-09 07:34Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October?BUY0.968$4.84
09-03 11:10Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in September?BUY0.976$324.57
09-03 11:09Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in September?BUY0.982$627.67
08-01 11:50Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in August?BUY0.9$329.30
07-28 15:00Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?BUY0.96$125.15
07-28 14:59Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?BUY0.991$188.40