6436
0xb44d2742ed255d1ff63bd689107146f738b62e7d
- Realised P&L
- $185.85
- Volume
- $17.8k
- Markets traded
- 70
- Open portfolio
- $1.0k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded70
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in November? · No | 0.960 | 0.945 | $471.61 | −$7.49 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in November? · No | 0.940 | 0.925 | $278.67 | −$4.52 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in November? · No | 0.890 | 0.875 | $176.36 | −$3.02 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in November? · No | 0.820 | 0.805 | $81.52 | −$1.52 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026? · Yes | 0.167 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.70 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in August? · No | 0.890 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$89.00 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$23.00 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June? · No | 0.910 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$91.00 |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? · Yes | 0.301 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$60.20 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? · Yes | 0.153 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.40 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$132.83at 0.323Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
- +$80.00at 0.200Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
- +$50.71at 0.493Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?
- +$39.00at 0.610Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?
- +$34.29at 0.914Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 09:59 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in November? | BUY | 0.96 | $479.10 |
| 11-01 09:59 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in November? | BUY | 0.94 | $283.18 |
| 11-01 09:58 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in November? | BUY | 0.89 | $179.38 |
| 11-01 09:58 | Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in November? | BUY | 0.82 | $83.04 |
| 10-12 06:16 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October? | BUY | 0.986 | $103.63 |
| 10-12 06:15 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October? | BUY | 0.979 | $88.24 |
| 10-12 06:15 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October? | BUY | 0.979 | $102.94 |
| 10-09 07:35 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October? | BUY | 0.978 | $97.04 |
| 10-09 07:34 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October? | BUY | 0.91 | $22.84 |
| 10-09 07:34 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October? | BUY | 0.968 | $4.84 |
| 09-03 11:10 | Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in September? | BUY | 0.976 | $324.57 |
| 09-03 11:09 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in September? | BUY | 0.982 | $627.67 |
| 08-01 11:50 | Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in August? | BUY | 0.9 | $329.30 |
| 07-28 15:00 | Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July? | BUY | 0.96 | $125.15 |
| 07-28 14:59 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July? | BUY | 0.991 | $188.40 |