0xb44cce7369de20cc9a7c46742ccd29f0b3b283c0
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $94.56
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration81.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? · Yes | 0.432 | 0.480 | $76.55 | +$7.60 |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? · Yes | 0.497 | 0.485 | $11.02 | −$0.29 |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? · No | 0.640 | 0.470 | $6.99 | −$2.53 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.51at 0.980Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 13:36 | Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | BUY | 0.489999989 | $6.23 |
| 11-02 13:36 | Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | SELL | 0.53 | $3.83 |
| 10-30 09:20 | Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | BUY | 0.4186990326 | $45.54 |
| 10-30 09:19 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | SELL | 0.41 | $24.77 |
| 10-15 14:19 | Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.85 |
| 10-15 14:16 | Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | BUY | 0.4499999956 | $15.33 |
| 10-15 14:16 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | BUY | 0.4399999959 | $26.05 |
| 10-08 21:14 | Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $11.04 |
| 10-08 21:14 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $15.31 |
| 10-08 08:51 | Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $3.10 |
| 10-07 04:47 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.960999993 | $4.26 |
| 10-06 22:59 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.9709999988 | $20.30 |