ibelievefrfr
0xb44bca7a99b2d619630ce88ace6a78f72836e94d
- Realised P&L
- $-13.9k
- Volume
- $1.41M
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $131.92
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.025 | $131.92 | −$568.07 |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.9k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-399.99at 0.004New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 14?
- +$-2.1kat 0.012New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-31 12:59 | New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31? | BUY | 0.0221016158 | $343.00 |
| 01-31 12:57 | New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31? | BUY | 0.0125496212 | $200.00 |
| 01-31 12:52 | New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31? | BUY | 0.0199700449 | $20.00 |
| 01-31 12:52 | New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31? | BUY | 0.0192886351 | $20.00 |
| 01-31 12:46 | New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31? | BUY | 0.0109738225 | $20.00 |
| 01-31 12:46 | New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31? | BUY | 0.0079599218 | $20.00 |
| 01-31 12:43 | New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31? | BUY | 0.008 | $20.00 |
| 01-31 12:43 | New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31? | BUY | 0.008 | $20.00 |
| 01-31 12:43 | New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31? | BUY | 0.0077849978 | $20.00 |
| 01-31 12:43 | New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31? | BUY | 0.0079008444 | $20.00 |
| 01-31 12:42 | New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31? | BUY | 0.0072986707 | $20.00 |
| 01-31 12:37 | New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31? | BUY | 0.0058738299 | $666.00 |
| 01-31 05:56 | New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31? | BUY | 0.0076153959 | $200.00 |
| 01-31 05:55 | New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31? | BUY | 0.0079700228 | $200.00 |
| 01-31 05:51 | New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31? | BUY | 0.0079249348 | $300.00 |