0xb4480c08452c3B87ce0f497a5F8c0f1Dd159d213-1780898199420
0xb4480c08452c3b87ce0f497a5f8c0f1dd159d213
- Realised P&L
- $-505.10
- Volume
- $15.0k
- Markets traded
- 534
- Open portfolio
- $15.70
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded534
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration2.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration72.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$59.36at 0.304Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET
- +$27.67at 0.427Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET
- +$25.70at 0.169Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
- +$23.20at 0.692Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET
- +$19.47at 0.567Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 04:01 | Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.6% and 1.0%? | SELL | 0.53 | $26.50 |
| 07-20 16:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET | BUY | 0.48 | $2.40 |
| 07-20 16:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $2.55 |
| 07-18 20:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET | BUY | 0.49 | $2.45 |
| 07-18 20:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET | BUY | 0.44 | $2.20 |
| 07-18 19:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET | BUY | 0.47 | $2.35 |
| 07-18 19:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET | BUY | 0.39 | $1.95 |
| 07-18 19:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET | BUY | 0.48 | $2.40 |
| 07-18 18:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $2.50 |
| 07-18 18:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET | BUY | 0.48 | $2.40 |
| 07-18 18:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET | BUY | 0.49 | $2.45 |
| 07-18 18:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET | BUY | 0.49 | $2.45 |
| 07-18 18:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET | BUY | 0.47 | $2.35 |
| 07-18 18:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET | BUY | 0.49 | $2.45 |
| 07-18 13:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET | BUY | 0.49 | $2.45 |