PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xb4480c08452c3B87ce0f497a5F8c0f1Dd159d213-1780898199420

0xb4480c08452c3b87ce0f497a5f8c0f1dd159d213

Realised P&L
$-505.10
Volume
$15.0k
Markets traded
534
Open portfolio
$15.70

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded534
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration2.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration72.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? · No0.4380.452$11.30+$0.35
Will Nathan MacKinnon win the 2026-27 Hart Memorial Trophy? · Yes0.1910.176$4.40−$0.38
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET · Down0.3300.000$0.00−$1.65
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET · Up0.4000.000$0.00−$2.00
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET · Down0.4000.000$0.00−$2.00
Ethereum Up or Down - July 1, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET · Up0.4000.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET · Down0.3500.000$0.00−$1.75
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET · Up0.4000.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET · Up0.4000.000$0.00−$2.00
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET · Down0.4000.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET · Up0.4000.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET · Up0.4900.000$0.00−$2.45
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET · Up0.4000.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET · Down0.3600.000$0.00−$1.80
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET · Up0.4000.000$0.00−$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-10 04:01Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.6% and 1.0%?SELL0.53$26.50
07-20 16:05Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 12:05PM-12:10PM ETBUY0.48$2.40
07-20 16:00Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 12:00PM-12:05PM ETBUY0.51$2.55
07-18 20:30Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 4:30PM-4:35PM ETBUY0.49$2.45
07-18 20:25Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 4:25PM-4:30PM ETBUY0.44$2.20
07-18 19:20Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 3:20PM-3:25PM ETBUY0.47$2.35
07-18 19:10Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 3:10PM-3:15PM ETBUY0.39$1.95
07-18 19:00Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 3:00PM-3:05PM ETBUY0.48$2.40
07-18 18:45Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 2:45PM-2:50PM ETBUY0.5$2.50
07-18 18:40Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 2:40PM-2:45PM ETBUY0.48$2.40
07-18 18:35Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 2:35PM-2:40PM ETBUY0.49$2.45
07-18 18:30Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 2:30PM-2:35PM ETBUY0.49$2.45
07-18 18:20Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 2:20PM-2:25PM ETBUY0.47$2.35
07-18 18:10Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 2:10PM-2:15PM ETBUY0.49$2.45
07-18 13:05Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 9:05AM-9:10AM ETBUY0.49$2.45