scottsharp
0xb43d6d897c4549b122d72f7cfd0a644404a5faad
- Realised P&L
- $22.50
- Volume
- $10.5k
- Markets traded
- 78
- Open portfolio
- $10.85
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded78
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration42.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M15 Baku: Dmitry Dolzhenkov vs Arvid Nordquist · Arvid Nordquist | 0.840 | 1.000 | $6.25 | +$1.00 |
| Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" first week sales be at least 200k? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.805 | $4.60 | +$0.03 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.48at 0.790Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $189 Week of September 7 2026?
- +$3.44at 0.969Will Anthropic have the top AI model on May 31?
- +$2.15at 0.980Will Google have the top AI model on June 30?
- +$2.09at 0.980Will xAI have the top AI model on May 31?
- +$1.20at 0.989Will OpenAI have the top AI model on June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-31 13:54 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in January? | BUY | 0.9979999404 | $7.13 |
| 01-30 16:26 | Will Opendoor reach $11.50 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $8.20 |
| 01-30 15:59 | Will Chainlink hit $17 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $15.03 |
| 01-30 12:23 | Will Chainlink hit $17 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.93 |
| 01-30 11:44 | Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in January? | BUY | 0.998 | $63.91 |
| 12-30 16:12 | Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $3.30 |
| 12-30 16:07 | Will Russia capture Slovainsk in 2025? | BUY | 0.9989997996 | $3.33 |
| 12-30 10:38 | Will Trump pardon Hunter Biden in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.11 |
| 12-30 00:57 | Dogecoin all time high before 2026? | BUY | 0.9989999319 | $12.16 |
| 12-29 22:46 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $15.59 |
| 12-29 20:59 | Will Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2025? | BUY | 0.9969999999 | $19.77 |
| 12-29 20:52 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025? | BUY | 0.9979999841 | $45.23 |
| 10-31 15:34 | Will xAI have the top AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $28.29 |
| 10-30 18:56 | Will Tencent have the second best AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $25.44 |
| 09-29 15:40 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October? | BUY | 0.9989999919 | $17.84 |